NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	103		Excitement	4.8 [843]		MVP	Horace Grant (SEA): +6.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	117		Comeback	1.0 [1204]		LVP	Othella Harrington (VAN): -19.9%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Reeves	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	11	75%	0.12	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Mike Bibby	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	12	77%	0.09	4	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00
Grant Long	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	22	51%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Doug West	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.02	4	75%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.04	17	56%	0.02	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Dennis Scott	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.16	-0.05	-0.01	9	25%	-0.09	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	10	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	10	80%	0.08	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.01	0.05	10	84%	0.12	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	26	53%	0.05	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Vin Baker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	18	55%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Vladimir Stepania	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.04	2	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	61.1	2.0	29.0	15.7	25.3	1.6	33.2	167.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +17.8%

SEA +8.2%

SEA +2.8%

SEA +13.3%

SEA +8.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	SEA	NBA	VAN	SEA	NBA
this game	14.7	15.0	15.2	105.1	121.9	101.7
season	15.9	14.9		99.5	103.5
opponent	15.4	15.0		102.6	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	15.7	13.1	16.8	13.0	14.7
SEA	12.0	16.4	13.7	18.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Long	35	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-13	12	13.9	15.1	-1.23	16.6	14.2	2.37
Dennis Scott	28	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-16	18	13.5	15.2	-1.69	15.4	14.9	0.46
Doug West	33	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.15	2	-16	18	15.1	14.5	0.58	17.0	14.0	3.06
Cherokee Parks	13	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.13	-10	-4	-6	13.5	14.8	-1.31	10.3	15.7	-5.36
Bryant Reeves	77	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-15	16	15.2	12.8	2.43	16.0	11.3	4.64
Mike Bibby	80	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	-4	-6	14.4	15.8	-1.42	15.0	15.2	-0.19
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	74	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	0	-14	14.9	14.0	0.84	14.9	15.5	-0.56
Othella Harrington	67	67	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.06	-20	6	-26	15.0	14.0	0.99	14.2	17.0	-2.79
Michael Dickerson	83	81	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.03	-20	6	-26	14.8	14.1	0.64	14.1	20.0	-5.90

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	71	72	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.00	19	-5	24	14.5	16.6	-2.19	15.6	12.1	3.48
Gary Payton	84	85	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.06	17	-3	20	14.7	17.2	-2.55	15.1	11.6	3.53
Vin Baker	57	58	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.05	19	-5	24	15.6	14.1	1.55	16.3	12.3	4.05
Horace Grant	82	83	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	2	10	14.7	16.9	-2.15	15.1	12.3	2.84
Brent Barry	66	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	-4	22	15.3	14.4	0.90	15.0	13.9	1.13
Rashard Lewis	44	47	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.09	-2	16	-18	16.1	14.1	2.06	12.4	16.7	-4.28
Vladimir Stepania	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	13	-12	13.5	15.1	-1.55	3.5	14.9	-11.41
Jelani McCoy	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	13	-12	13.5	15.1	-1.55	3.5	14.9	-11.41
Shammond Williams	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	13	-12	13.5	15.1	-1.55	3.5	14.9	-11.41
Greg Foster	32	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.19	-8	22	-30	14.8	15.1	-0.31	14.1	15.0	-0.92
Vernon Maxwell	38	39	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.19	-8	22	-30	15.2	14.9	0.23	12.9	15.9	-2.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.95,1,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 74, TOR 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.6%
LAL 85, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.87,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%
NJN 102, OKC 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.9,1	95.0%