NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	79		Excitement	4.1 [1039]		MVP	Keith Bogans (CHI): +12.0%
Chicago Bulls	98		Comeback	1.3 [1295]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -15.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Crawford	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	-0.01	-0.04	21	56%	0.14	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Yi Jianlian	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	7	57%	0.00
Hamady Ndiaye	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
JaVale McGee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	14	35%	-0.02	2	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Mustafa Shakur	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	9	22%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.03	0.03	14	55%	0.01	7	-0.17	3	67%	-0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	10	77%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	19	47%	0.06	2	-0.01	5	40%	-0.03
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	75%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	53%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	10	36%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Rasual Butler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	11	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	21	49%	0.05	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	2	12%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	30.2	15.8	26.2	2.6	31.2	132.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +19.6%

WAS -3.4%

CHI +24.6%

CHI +9.8%

WAS -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.2	17.5	15.5	89.8	111.4	105.7
season	15.1	15.7		100.9	106.5
opponent	15.9	15.2		99.2	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.1	16.5	17.1	12.7	15.2
CHI	18.5	17.8	18.0	16.1	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mustafa Shakur	3	4	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-23	27	9.3	15.4	-6.09	23.2	17.2	6.01
Hamady Ndiaye	2	2	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-20	21	8.0	15.4	-7.38	18.0	17.5	0.50
Maurice Evans	55	55	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-18	17	14.9	15.7	-0.77	16.7	18.9	-2.28
Kevin Seraphin	18	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-15	11	13.6	15.6	-2.02	15.4	18.1	-2.67
Trevor Booker	44	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.07	-16	-3	-13	15.3	15.2	0.11	17.8	17.2	0.64
JaVale McGee	69	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	-4	-11	15.9	12.8	3.03	18.4	13.9	4.48
Jordan Crawford	88	88	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	0	-19	15.2	0.0	15.22	17.5	0.0	17.51
John Wall	85	84	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.11	-23	4	-27	15.4	9.3	6.09	17.2	23.2	-6.01
Yi Jianlian	76	74	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.07	-22	3	-25	15.4	14.2	1.12	17.6	17.1	0.52

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Bogans	55	55	0.63	-0.13	0.77	-0.04	23	-4	27	16.8	18.7	-1.95	14.9	15.8	-0.87
Luol Deng	81	81	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.15	25	-6	31	17.5	17.7	-0.22	14.7	20.7	-5.97
Derrick Rose	69	69	0.55	-0.04	0.59	-0.10	22	-3	25	18.1	15.3	2.87	14.9	16.5	-1.67
Taj Gibson	45	45	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.09	20	-1	21	18.9	16.0	2.91	17.4	12.9	4.56
Kurt Thomas	68	67	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	1	17	18.2	15.2	2.93	14.8	16.6	-1.84
Omer Asik	19	20	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	17	-15	15.1	18.2	-3.07	16.6	14.8	1.79
Brian Scalabrine	7	7	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.01	1	18	-17	18.4	17.4	1.00	14.4	15.3	-0.86
Rasual Butler	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	18.0	17.5	0.49	17.0	15.2	1.80
CJ Watson	19	19	-0.04	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	22	-25	15.3	18.1	-2.87	16.5	14.9	1.67
Ronnie Brewer	37	38	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.06	-6	25	-31	16.3	18.4	-2.05	14.4	15.8	-1.45
Kyle Korver	39	38	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	25	-31	17.9	17.2	0.69	15.0	15.4	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
SAC 96, MEM 113	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
WAS 109, TOR 119	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%