NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	101		Excitement	6.9 [405]		MVP	Blue Edwards (VAN): +19.0%
Vancouver Grizzlies	97		Comeback	2.5 [527]		LVP	Lee Mayberry (VAN): -15.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Schayes	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	9	65%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Anderson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	16	57%	0.09	4	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
Bo Outlaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	19	48%	0.05	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Mark Price	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	8	69%	0.11	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wilkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rony Seikaly	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	8	42%	-0.10	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.05
Darrell Armstrong	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.07	0.00	7	88%	0.19	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	2	80%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	10	70%	0.10	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.08
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	18	63%	0.11	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Ivano Newbill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.07	0.00	12	64%	0.04	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	9	25%	-0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.5	23.3	15.7	25.3	2.7	39.0	133.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +12.9%

VAN -1.3%

ORL +20.4%

ORL +16.0%

ORL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	VAN	NBA	ORL	VAN	NBA
this game	16.9	14.8	15.6	111.0	106.6	102.5
season	16.7	15.1		100.3	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.6		109.1	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.9	19.0	13.1	20.8	16.9
VAN	14.1	13.7	15.8	15.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	75	74	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.41	9	-5	14	16.8	17.2	-0.44	15.4	12.1	3.32
Dan Schayes	34	35	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.11	15	-11	26	17.1	16.8	0.32	14.9	14.6	0.30
Mark Price	57	57	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-6	16	15.1	19.9	-4.82	15.0	14.3	0.69
Anfernee Hardaway	77	78	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	1	2	16.3	20.1	-3.76	14.6	15.8	-1.27
Derek Strong	71	70	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.44	-6	10	-16	17.6	14.4	3.13	15.1	13.7	1.42
Rony Seikaly	69	70	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	1	2	15.6	21.0	-5.48	14.3	16.2	-1.86
Gerald Wilkins	14	13	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	3	-2	20.1	16.3	3.76	15.8	14.6	1.27
Darrell Armstrong	34	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.13	-6	10	-16	19.9	15.1	4.82	14.3	15.0	-0.69
Nick Anderson	24	24	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.03	-9	13	-22	18.6	16.3	2.36	12.9	15.4	-2.56

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Massenburg	14	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.05	1	-5	6	16.9	14.4	2.56	16.3	17.0	-0.71
Blue Edwards	52	52	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.38	11	-15	26	14.1	15.6	-1.50	18.1	15.3	2.86
Bryant Reeves	26	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.02	-2	-2	0	14.3	14.9	-0.63	16.5	17.1	-0.62
George Lynch	34	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.31	7	-11	18	14.8	14.7	0.10	20.6	14.7	5.95
Pete Chilcutt	29	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-2	0	14.1	15.0	-0.91	14.8	17.8	-3.00
Lee Mayberry	39	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.20	1	-5	6	15.6	14.2	1.41	18.0	15.9	2.11
Ivano Newbill	14	14	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	3	-10	16.4	14.5	1.89	13.1	17.6	-4.43
Antonio Daniels	52	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	1	-6	14.2	15.6	-1.41	15.9	18.0	-2.11
Sam Mack	39	39	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	11	-26	15.6	14.1	1.50	15.3	18.1	-2.86
Otis Thorpe	71	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.31	-5	1	-6	14.4	16.1	-1.78	17.0	16.6	0.37
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	85	85	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	0	-4	14.8	14.3	0.45	16.9	17.3	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 113, IND 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.25,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.29,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.15,0	93.3%
CHI 105, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.29,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.15,0.06,0.14,0.22,0.09,0,0	92.2%
LAL 97, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.08,0.01,0.04,0	92.2%