NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	113		Excitement	8.2 [178]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +26.5%
Indiana Pacers	111		Comeback	2.5 [248]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -12.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0.23	0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23	0.12	0.14	0.03	13	62%	0.23	0	0.00	11	64%	-0.02
Grant Hill	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.06	0.01	16	61%	0.19	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
Channing Frye	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	7	69%	0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Shannon Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	6	46%	0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	56%	0.09	1	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Michael Redd	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	53%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	9	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.04	-0.05	0.03	0.01	8	55%	0.13	4	-0.16	6	100%	0.10
Robin Lopez	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	31%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.26	0.26	0.22	0.09	0.05	13	87%	0.32	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.06
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	9	62%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	57%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.03	12	63%	0.12	3	-0.12	6	83%	0.04
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	60%	0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	10	25%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0,-0.13	-0.13	0.03	-0.12	0.04	8	68%	0.03	3	-0.16	6	83%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.5	34.2	15.6	23.2	2.0	44.5	146.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +14.1%

PHX +4.5%

PHX +14.2%

PHX +7.9%

PHX +9.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	IND	NBA	PHX	IND	NBA
this game	14.6	15.7	15.6	118.9	116.8	102.8
season	15.0	15.7		104.7	104.2
opponent	15.6	15.7		101.1	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.2	14.2	13.7	14.5	14.6
IND	17.2	14.6	17.7	13.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	54	53	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.35	15	-13	28	13.5	16.1	-2.59	17.2	13.9	3.25
Steve Nash	68	69	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.42	2	0	2	14.2	15.6	-1.39	16.0	14.9	1.14
Jared Dudley	64	64	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	1	0	14.1	15.6	-1.50	15.9	15.3	0.68
Marcin Gortat	66	65	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	-1	4	14.4	15.1	-0.77	16.2	14.7	1.48
Grant Hill	70	71	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.37	-3	5	-8	14.2	15.7	-1.47	15.9	15.2	0.62
Robin Lopez	29	28	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	-3	8	15.1	14.4	0.68	15.2	15.9	-0.71
Shannon Brown	28	29	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.13	2	0	2	15.6	14.2	1.43	15.0	16.0	-0.98
Michael Redd	28	27	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	1	0	15.7	14.1	1.53	15.3	15.9	-0.59
Markieff Morris	13	13	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	5	-8	15.8	14.4	1.35	13.2	16.1	-2.97
Sebastian Telfair	27	28	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.10	-6	8	-14	15.7	14.2	1.49	14.4	16.3	-1.93
Hakim Warrick	28	28	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.05	-7	9	-16	16.2	13.9	2.29	14.4	16.3	-1.88

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Hansbrough	35	35	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.04	-1	-1	0	15.6	15.8	-0.14	16.1	13.7	2.44
Danny Granger	68	68	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-12	22	16.1	14.8	1.31	14.4	15.1	-0.66
Lou Amundson	25	25	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-2	2	13.3	16.6	-3.31	15.9	14.1	1.79
A.J. Price	1	0	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-3	4	10.0	15.8	-5.78	0.0	14.6	-14.60
Leandro Barbosa	33	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	1	-4	13.8	16.7	-2.86	15.3	14.2	1.03
George Hill	44	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	1	-4	14.9	16.4	-1.50	15.4	13.9	1.42
Dahntay Jones	25	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	5	-12	15.0	16.0	-0.92	15.0	14.4	0.55
Paul George	55	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.45	2	-4	6	15.6	15.8	-0.23	13.5	16.1	-2.63
Darren Collison	64	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.37	-1	-1	0	16.5	14.0	2.55	13.9	16.0	-2.16
David West	62	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-1	0	16.3	14.6	1.65	14.3	15.3	-1.03
Roy Hibbert	63	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.27	-7	5	-12	16.9	13.4	3.53	14.4	15.0	-0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.25,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.29,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 86, ATL 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0	93.3%
ORL 101, VAN 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.08,0	93.3%
ORL 90, CHA 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.06,0,0	92.9%