NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	93		Excitement	2.7 [1170]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +8.7%
Toronto Raptors	70		Comeback	1.2 [876]		LVP	Doug Christie (TOR): -12.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.00	-0.02	20	63%	0.13	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
John Starks	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Pete Myers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	13	59%	0.07	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Chris Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	7	50%	-0.00	3	-0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Chris Childs	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	36%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Mills	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	8	22%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	4	50%	0.00	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Respert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Stokes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Garner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	80%	-0.00	3	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	13	38%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	9	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	10	54%	0.02	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	8	18%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	16	32%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.17	0.00	-0.05	13	32%	-0.07	5	-0.05	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.0	27.3	16.4	27.4	1.8	26.2	122.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +36.9%

NYK +3.0%

NYK +6.3%

NYK +1.7%

NYK +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	16.1	14.6	15.6	100.0	73.7	102.5
season	15.7	15.5		100.4	98.7
opponent	14.8	16.3		108.2	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.3	16.2	14.8	17.0	16.1
TOR	15.7	15.8	15.2	11.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	73	75	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.20	21	2	19	16.5	14.6	1.82	14.5	14.7	-0.22
Charlie Ward	74	74	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.20	19	4	15	15.8	17.2	-1.36	14.8	13.7	1.17
Allan Houston	52	54	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.05	12	11	1	15.9	16.3	-0.48	15.8	13.0	2.73
John Starks	55	57	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.09	13	10	3	16.2	15.8	0.39	13.6	16.0	-2.37
Chris Dudley	48	50	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.19	16	7	9	15.8	16.4	-0.63	13.2	16.1	-2.91
Charles Oakley	50	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	13	-3	15.7	16.5	-0.77	15.2	13.9	1.31
Chris Mills	51	52	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.07	11	12	-1	16.7	15.4	1.31	14.0	15.3	-1.28
Patrick Ewing	45	44	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	17	-11	16.4	15.8	0.63	16.5	13.0	3.49
Chris Childs	10	11	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.04	6	17	-11	16.1	16.1	0.03	12.5	14.8	-2.30
Pete Myers	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	22	-21	13.4	16.3	-2.86	11.7	14.8	-3.11

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Respert	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-22	21	11.7	14.8	-3.11	13.4	16.3	-2.86
Ed Stokes	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-22	21	11.7	14.8	-3.11	13.4	16.3	-2.86
Chris Garner	18	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-22	21	14.1	14.7	-0.58	16.1	16.1	0.04
Reggie Slater	52	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.10	-7	-16	9	12.8	16.8	-4.00	16.5	15.6	0.96
Zan Tabak	28	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-18	13	17.5	13.4	4.14	16.2	16.0	0.13
Popeye Jones	34	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-15	7	14.3	14.7	-0.44	15.7	16.2	-0.50
John Wallace	44	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-11	-1	15.4	13.9	1.55	15.4	16.5	-1.10
Walt Williams	65	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.23	-20	-3	-17	13.9	16.0	-2.13	16.2	15.8	0.37
Doug Christie	81	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.16	-18	-5	-13	14.6	14.4	0.26	15.8	17.4	-1.57
Marcus Camby	64	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.15	-20	-3	-17	15.0	13.6	1.43	16.5	15.2	1.21
Damon Stoudamire	77	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.12	-22	-1	-21	15.1	12.4	2.70	16.5	13.8	2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, BOS 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0	96.5%
OKC 123, NYK 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
PHI 115, DET 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%