NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	123		Excitement	3.0 [1182]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +15.2%
New York Knicks	94		Comeback	1.1 [1229]		LVP	J.R. Smith (NYK): -12.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.15	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.18	-0.00	0.03	16	76%	0.18	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.15	0.01	0.03	14	75%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	8	76%	0.06	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Steven Adams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	83%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	16	51%	0.02	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	0.01	0.02	15	41%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	19	51%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Chris Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Toure Murry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	0.00	0.10	16	61%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	6	17%	-0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	0.06	22	43%	-0.08	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.8	35.2	18.3	29.3	3.4	31.8	146.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +46.5%

OKC +2.7%

OKC +0.8%

OKC +1.3%

NYK -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	NYK	NBA	OKC	NYK	NBA
this game	14.1	15.9	15.1	128.1	97.9	105.2
season	14.4	16.0		107.8	106.4
opponent	15.4	15.4		107.6	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.2	14.0	14.6	14.7	14.1
NYK	16.2	18.1	14.8	14.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	66	65	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.14	22	7	15	13.7	15.0	-1.30	15.9	15.8	0.08
Russell Westbrook	59	58	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.10	17	12	5	13.8	14.5	-0.67	15.9	15.9	0.00
Serge Ibaka	55	54	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	17	-5	13.8	14.6	-0.80	16.6	15.0	1.55
Thabo Sefolosha	44	45	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.12	14	15	-1	13.4	14.7	-1.33	16.0	15.8	0.28
Kendrick Perkins	44	44	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.12	13	16	-3	13.6	14.5	-0.91	15.7	16.0	-0.31
Reggie Jackson	50	50	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.19	14	15	-1	14.4	13.8	0.58	15.9	15.8	0.09
Derek Fisher	29	29	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.26	16	13	3	14.5	13.9	0.54	17.7	15.1	2.62
Nick Collison	35	36	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.24	14	15	-1	14.9	13.6	1.32	16.6	15.5	1.06
Jeremy Lamb	44	44	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.25	12	17	-5	15.1	13.3	1.82	15.4	16.3	-0.86
Perry Jones	18	18	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	28	-27	14.1	14.1	0.01	14.0	16.3	-2.33
Steven Adams	24	25	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.25	9	20	-11	14.7	13.9	0.81	14.7	16.3	-1.64
Andre Roberson	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	28	-27	14.2	14.1	0.17	13.2	16.3	-3.02

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Smith	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-28	27	11.7	16.1	-4.33	11.3	14.2	-2.86
Cole Aldrich	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-28	27	13.2	16.3	-3.02	14.2	14.1	0.17
Toure Murry	30	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.18	-11	-18	7	15.4	16.1	-0.77	14.6	13.9	0.67
Kenyon Martin	25	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.22	-14	-15	1	16.5	15.7	0.84	15.5	13.6	1.86
Amar'e Stoudemire	52	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.32	-18	-11	-7	15.4	16.5	-1.03	15.4	12.6	2.84
Iman Shumpert	51	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-22	15	15.7	16.1	-0.41	14.5	13.6	0.95
Beno Udrih	61	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.07	-12	-17	5	16.2	15.4	0.83	13.4	15.4	-1.99
Andrea Bargnani	34	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-16	3	16.7	15.4	1.30	12.4	15.1	-2.71
Tyson Chandler	59	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	-15	1	16.2	15.5	0.71	13.5	15.1	-1.59
Tim Hardaway Jr.	74	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.30	-22	-7	-15	16.1	15.4	0.69	14.7	12.3	2.37
J.R. Smith	78	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.47	-32	3	-35	16.0	15.4	0.56	13.7	15.9	-2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 93, TOR 70	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
DAL 113, IND 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
LAC 94, DAL 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%