NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	101		Excitement	8.7 [150]		MVP	Mitch Richmond (SAC): +22.6%
Sacramento Kings	99		Comeback	2.0 [704]		LVP	Corliss Williamson (SAC): -24.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wayman Tisdale	0.10	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.01	10	76%	0.16	3	-0.06	5	20%	-0.07
Danny Manning	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.00	4	80%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09	-0.01	0.10	-0.00	7	75%	0.36	4	-0.27	2	100%	0.01
Hot Rod Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	9	75%	0.16	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Cedric Ceballos	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Meyer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	44%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	16	37%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.24	-0.09	-0.14	0.00	13	39%	-0.14	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.02	0.19	-0.02	21	52%	0.29	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Lionel Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.09	0.00	14	61%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Gamble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	2	75%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	9	64%	0.00	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Billy Owens	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	5	42%	-0.03	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Olden Polynice	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.11	0.01	11	53%	-0.10	2	-0.07	10	50%	-0.10
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.24	-0.24	-0.01	-0.24	-0.00	14	47%	-0.24	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.5	24.4	15.4	26.6	2.4	29.4	122.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +68.9%

SAC -4.1%

SAC -17.4%

SAC -7.3%

PHX +9.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	15.2	13.9	15.6	102.0	100.0	104.4
season	14.6	15.4		106.8	102.4
opponent	15.4	15.6		106.0	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.0	15.0	13.4	16.7	15.2
SAC	14.6	14.4	13.3	13.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Johnson	75	74	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	-2	6	15.3	15.0	0.23	13.7	14.4	-0.64
Hot Rod Williams	61	60	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	-2	6	15.5	14.8	0.64	13.5	14.4	-0.88
Wesley Person	56	57	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.47	-2	4	-6	15.2	15.2	0.05	14.1	13.5	0.62
Rex Chapman	65	64	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.30	-1	3	-4	15.5	14.7	0.77	13.2	15.2	-2.04
Mike Brown	27	28	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	-3	8	15.2	15.2	0.01	16.4	12.9	3.51
Cedric Ceballos	36	36	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.13	2	0	2	14.4	15.7	-1.25	14.9	13.3	1.63
Wayman Tisdale	49	48	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	-4	10	14.8	15.6	-0.78	14.0	13.7	0.32
Jason Kidd	71	72	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.28	-5	7	-12	15.7	14.0	1.69	12.6	17.3	-4.75
Danny Manning	38	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	4	-6	14.8	15.5	-0.64	14.4	13.5	0.88
Steve Nash	12	13	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.01	2	0	2	15.5	15.2	0.33	16.8	13.4	3.42
Loren Meyer	5	4	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	5	-8	12.8	15.3	-2.54	9.5	14.1	-4.56

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lionel Simmons	16	16	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-4	6	16.1	13.5	2.60	14.6	15.3	-0.77
Bobby Hurley	64	63	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-7	12	12.9	15.7	-2.88	15.8	14.2	1.60
Brian Grant	62	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.31	3	-5	8	13.3	14.9	-1.62	15.6	14.6	1.03
Corliss Williamson	64	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.41	6	-8	14	13.6	14.4	-0.85	15.0	15.5	-0.45
Kevin Gamble	22	22	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	3	-8	16.8	13.1	3.72	13.5	15.7	-2.26
Mitch Richmond	80	81	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-6	10	13.1	17.3	-4.25	15.7	12.9	2.77
Michael Smith	41	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	3	-8	14.7	13.3	1.46	13.6	16.4	-2.77
Olden Polynice	56	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	6	-14	13.9	13.8	0.11	15.2	15.2	0.05
Billy Owens	38	37	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	9	-20	14.6	13.4	1.14	15.7	14.9	0.78
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	52	52	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.49	-1	-1	0	14.3	13.4	0.98	15.3	15.1	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.67,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.09,0.22,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.03,0.15,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 98, MEM 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.34,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.42,0	91.0%
WAS 92, PHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.38,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.17,0	90.5%
ATL 110, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.42,0	90.2%