NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	92		Excitement	6.7 [501]		MVP	Calvin Booth (WAS): +11.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	85		Comeback	1.4 [737]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -23.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calvin Booth	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	3	80%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Darius Songaila	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.00	5	71%	0.14	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Andray Blatche	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	69%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Donell Taylor	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.02	6	57%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-0.02	20	36%	-0.07	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Gilbert Arenas	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	0.00	26	37%	-0.12	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	12	64%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	52%	0.05	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Lou Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.05	-0.00	10	65%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	15	38%	-0.06	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.06	0.04	11	48%	-0.06	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23	-0.23	-0.17	-0.07	-0.01	15	36%	-0.09	5	-0.14	9	78%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.6	29.0	14.8	29.0	2.5	33.5	135.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +18.3%

WAS +4.8%

WAS +11.4%

WAS +18.7%

PHI -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	16.1	15.4	98.9	92.4	104.5
season	14.8	15.5		107.8	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.3		105.2	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.0	14.2	15.2	17.0	15.1
PHI	16.7	16.5	17.5	13.7	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	44	44	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-3	13	15.8	14.5	1.30	14.6	17.4	-2.76
Darius Songaila	26	28	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	-4	15	15.6	14.9	0.73	15.8	16.2	-0.39
Calvin Booth	34	34	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-3	13	16.3	14.4	1.90	15.8	16.2	-0.41
Jarvis Hayes	30	29	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.07	8	-1	9	15.0	15.1	-0.08	15.5	16.3	-0.78
Caron Butler	81	80	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.21	1	6	-5	15.1	15.2	-0.19	16.4	13.7	2.65
Gilbert Arenas	75	75	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	5	-3	14.8	16.2	-1.41	16.5	13.9	2.66
Donell Taylor	17	18	0.23	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	2	3	15.0	15.1	-0.11	14.4	16.5	-2.07
Michael Ruffin	22	23	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	5	-3	15.0	15.1	-0.05	15.5	16.2	-0.71
DeShawn Stevenson	55	52	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.18	-3	10	-13	15.3	14.8	0.41	16.3	15.7	0.58
Brendan Haywood	37	35	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	12	-17	14.0	15.8	-1.80	16.7	15.7	0.97
Andray Blatche	44	42	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	13	-19	14.5	15.7	-1.20	17.0	15.3	1.70

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	6	5	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-7	7	14.3	16.2	-1.84	9.6	15.4	-5.80
Lou Williams	1	2	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-5	3	29.0	15.9	13.09	21.0	15.0	6.04
Rodney Carney	57	58	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.17	1	-8	9	16.2	15.7	0.50	15.7	14.1	1.60
Joe Smith	72	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	0	-7	16.4	14.8	1.54	14.6	16.9	-2.27
Samuel Dalembert	75	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-4	1	16.4	14.5	1.87	15.1	14.8	0.31
Kyle Korver	59	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-3	-1	15.0	17.9	-2.89	15.1	15.1	-0.10
Willie Green	29	29	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	4	-15	15.1	16.5	-1.34	15.4	15.0	0.43
Andre Iguodala	86	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-2	-3	16.2	13.8	2.38	14.9	17.7	-2.84
Andre Miller	75	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-3	-1	16.2	15.4	0.79	15.4	13.7	1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.38,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 100, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.46,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	93.9%
CHI 89, CHA 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	93.5%
UTA 85, ORL 73	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.26,0.26,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.4%