NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	85		Excitement	5.1 [762]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): +9.4%
Orlando Magic	73		Comeback	1.4 [714]		LVP	Gerald Wilkins (ORL): -27.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	83%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Adam Keefe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	7	69%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Ostertag	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	8	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	2	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Greg Foster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	8	42%	-0.00	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Antoine Carr	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0.04	8	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	45%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	-0.08	0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	27	48%	0.00	4	-0.08	8	100%	0.03
Bryon Russell	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	4	33%	-0.05	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	10	64%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Carl Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Taylor	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Lawson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Schayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	10	42%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	16	50%	0.02	4	-0.09	8	100%	0.05
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Brian Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	0.05	7	36%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Harper	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	10	40%	-0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.21	-0.08	-0.02	10	29%	-0.12	6	-0.16	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.0	26.0	15.8	27.1	1.8	25.2	121.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +22.0%

UTA +0.7%

UTA +14.2%

UTA +7.4%

UTA +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ORL	NBA	UTA	ORL	NBA
this game	17.6	16.9	15.6	102.4	86.9	102.5
season	15.9	16.7		108.1	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.9		101.4	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.1	18.0	18.0	18.4	17.6
ORL	17.3	18.0	14.8	17.6	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	44	45	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	1	10	17.7	17.6	0.12	16.4	17.4	-0.96
Adam Keefe	48	49	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	2	8	18.3	16.7	1.58	16.6	17.2	-0.57
John Stockton	44	45	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.07	14	-2	16	16.7	18.6	-1.91	18.2	15.3	2.96
Antoine Carr	37	37	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.13	16	-4	20	17.7	17.6	0.14	17.1	16.7	0.33
Karl Malone	67	68	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	4	4	16.5	22.3	-5.81	17.0	16.2	0.76
Shandon Anderson	27	28	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	2	8	17.6	17.6	-0.05	17.5	16.5	1.00
Bryon Russell	43	43	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	6	0	17.6	17.6	0.00	17.2	16.6	0.60
Jeff Hornacek	56	56	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.14	2	10	-8	17.6	17.6	0.05	16.5	17.5	-1.00
Howard Eisley	39	39	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.22	-2	14	-16	18.6	16.7	1.91	15.3	18.2	-2.96
Greg Foster	10	10	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.15	-15	27	-42	21.4	17.1	4.29	17.1	16.8	0.26

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Taylor	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	13.5	17.0	-3.45	20.0	17.5	2.46
Jason Lawson	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	13.5	17.0	-3.45	20.0	17.5	2.46
Derek Harper	59	58	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.21	2	-14	16	17.4	15.5	1.92	17.3	18.4	-1.11
Brian Evans	18	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-9	6	16.1	17.1	-0.96	18.8	17.2	1.61
Rony Seikaly	72	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-8	4	17.1	15.7	1.40	17.7	17.4	0.29
Darrell Armstrong	50	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-9	6	15.9	18.3	-2.34	19.1	15.5	3.55
Carl Thomas	6	7	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-8	4	12.8	17.2	-4.35	17.7	17.6	0.10
Dan Schayes	14	15	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-5	-2	14.3	17.4	-3.10	20.6	17.0	3.63
Gerald Wilkins	53	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.18	-19	7	-26	17.6	15.6	1.94	16.6	19.3	-2.71
Horace Grant	73	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	0	-12	17.1	15.6	1.42	17.2	20.0	-2.81
Bo Outlaw	71	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.02	-16	4	-20	17.4	14.2	3.21	16.8	21.3	-4.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.26,0.26,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 113, LAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.34,0.18,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
MIN 93, PHX 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.54,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.22,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.8%
CLE 96, POR 82	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%