NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
misc

Miami Heat	97		Excitement	8.0 [239]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (TOR): +35.6%
Toronto Raptors	102		Comeback	18.4 [22]		LVP	Doug Christie (TOR): -20.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.07	-0.03	15	73%	0.18	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Ike Austin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	7	75%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Keith Askins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Crotty	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Willie Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.05,-0.11	0.00	-0.12	-0.01	11	59%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	16	35%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
P.J. Brown	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	7	29%	-0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.17,-0.2	-0.05	-0.16	-0.01	15	59%	-0.12	3	-0.07	16	44%	-0.28

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.36	0.36	0.13	0.22	-0.01	18	83%	0.55	7	-0.20	6	100%	0.03
Sharone Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	11	52%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Shawn Respert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	6	37%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	22	49%	-0.00	5	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Doug Christie	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.06	0.00	11	50%	-0.00	6	-0.21	10	90%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.7	27.1	17.4	26.4	2.4	38.4	137.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +18.9%

TOR +39.9%

TOR +7.9%

MIA -15.6%

MIA -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	TOR	NBA	MIA	TOR	NBA
this game	13.3	16.2	15.6	98.0	105.2	104.4
season	15.8	16.1		103.1	102.2
opponent	15.0	16.3		105.6	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	12.7	15.0	13.3	12.3	13.3
TOR	14.5	17.7	15.5	17.2	16.2

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.36,0.55,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 101, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.38,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.19,0.54,0.78,0.84,1	92.5%
MIN 98, NOH 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.31,0.28,0.57,0.85,1	92.3%
MIN 101, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.37,0.57,0.85,1	90.7%