NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Excitement	7.9 [271]		MVP	George Hill (SAS): +21.8%
San Antonio Spurs	107		Comeback	31.3 [140]		LVP	Wesley Johnson (MIN): -22.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Beasley	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09	0.02	0.02	-0.05	24	54%	0.22	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.05
Sebastian Telfair	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.06	0.01	7	78%	0.08	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Kosta Koufos	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.05	0.00	-0.06	-0.01	14	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Kevin Love	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.01	-0.11	-0.01	18	53%	0.11	4	-0.21	11	73%	-0.01
Darko Milicic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	10	20%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	7	25%	-0.11	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.10	0.01	12	65%	0.22	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0,0,0.14,0.16	0.16	0.00	0.14	-0.02	10	48%	0.21	2	-0.06	13	100%	0.14
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	-0.01	0.01	14	67%	0.14	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	13	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	0.02	-0.23	0.00	14	59%	0.05	4	-0.26	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.3	30.5	15.4	23.2	2.5	42.4	142.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +18.6%

SAS +36.7%

MIN -14.7%

SAS +10.7%

MIN -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	15.2	14.4	15.5	103.1	110.3	105.7
season	14.3	15.5		102.7	109.3
opponent	15.2	15.1		103.6	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.5	14.4	14.7	16.1	15.2
SAS	13.3	16.3	16.0	12.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sebastian Telfair	32	30	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.07	7	-13	20	15.1	15.2	-0.13	14.0	14.5	-0.46
Kosta Koufos	30	30	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.14	3	-9	12	15.0	15.2	-0.22	14.7	14.2	0.55
Anthony Tolliver	12	11	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.05	7	-13	20	12.1	15.6	-3.53	12.4	14.6	-2.24
Darko Milicic	48	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.22	-13	7	-20	17.3	13.2	4.09	15.0	13.6	1.39
Michael Beasley	84	83	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.51	9	-15	24	14.7	17.8	-3.04	14.2	15.1	-0.84
Wayne Ellington	14	14	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.10	-12	6	-18	18.4	14.6	3.79	16.1	14.1	2.01
Kevin Love	87	86	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	-2	-2	15.0	16.9	-1.94	14.4	14.1	0.29
Corey Brewer	55	54	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.44	-4	-2	-2	14.3	16.3	-2.03	13.3	15.7	-2.38
Wesley Johnson	62	61	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.35	-10	4	-14	15.2	15.2	0.03	14.6	13.9	0.73
Luke Ridnour	66	67	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.39	-13	7	-20	15.2	15.1	0.13	14.5	14.0	0.46

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	69	69	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.27	19	-13	32	14.2	14.6	-0.41	15.9	13.4	2.46
George Hill	69	71	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.28	16	-10	26	13.8	15.7	-1.97	15.3	14.8	0.56
Manu Ginobili	68	67	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.39	12	-6	18	14.5	14.0	0.45	15.1	15.4	-0.25
Richard Jefferson	73	74	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.54	-9	15	-24	14.5	13.9	0.63	14.8	16.5	-1.69
Tony Parker	72	73	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.48	-8	14	-22	13.9	15.6	-1.63	14.6	16.8	-2.22
Gary Neal	18	19	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.11	8	-2	10	15.5	14.1	1.41	16.5	14.9	1.67
Ime Udoka	8	8	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	1	4	17.4	14.1	3.30	16.2	15.1	1.16
DeJuan Blair	34	33	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.07	6	0	6	14.9	14.0	0.91	16.4	14.6	1.82
Matt Bonner	33	35	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.10	7	-1	8	13.5	14.8	-1.36	14.5	15.6	-1.09
Tiago Splitter	18	19	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	0.09	-16	22	-38	14.8	14.3	0.52	11.8	16.0	-4.21
Antonio McDyess	23	22	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.12	-10	16	-26	15.0	14.2	0.79	16.6	14.8	1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.37,0.57,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 85, DAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.24,0.37,0.67,0.95,1	91.6%
HOU 87, UTA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.31,0.21,0.45,0.63,1	91.2%
MIA 97, TOR 102	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.36,0.55,0.91,1	90.7%