NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	87		Excitement	7.2 [212]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +18.5%
Utah Jazz	88		Comeback	48.8 [21]		LVP	Charles Barkley (HOU): -20.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	25	55%	0.11	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.09
Michael Dickerson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	10	57%	0.09	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Brent Price	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0,0	0.12	-0.12	0.00	6	108%	0.15	1	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	6	62%	0.02	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Charles Barkley	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.14	-0.10	-0.02	11	32%	-0.16	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,0.18	0.18	-0.03	0.22	0.00	14	53%	0.26	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	73%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.01	19	62%	0.21	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Thurl Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.01	7	69%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.04	0.02	12	46%	0.07	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	9	20%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	44.7	2.6	28.0	15.4	23.6	2.5	36.4	153.2
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +29.9%

HOU -9.3%

UTA +0.7%

UTA +12.9%

UTA +15.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	17.4	15.5	15.8	100.0	100.0	99.6
season	16.0	16.4		103.1	102.6
opponent	16.0	15.6		96.1	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.5	16.3	16.0	20.9	17.4
UTA	18.6	14.4	15.3	14.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	39	40	0.40	-0.90	1.29	0.04	12	-13	25	16.4	18.2	-1.87	17.2	14.1	3.15
Matt Bullard	9	11	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-4	7	17.9	17.3	0.56	13.5	15.8	-2.38
Cuttino Mobley	49	46	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.12	6	-7	13	17.0	17.9	-0.94	16.7	14.2	2.48
Sam Mack	8	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	1	-3	17.6	17.4	0.26	13.5	15.8	-2.38
Michael Dickerson	79	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.50	1	-2	3	17.4	17.6	-0.26	15.8	13.5	2.38
Hakeem Olajuwon	71	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.54	1	-2	3	16.6	20.7	-4.12	15.2	16.9	-1.74
Scottie Pippen	78	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	3	-7	17.3	17.9	-0.56	15.8	13.5	2.38
Charles Barkley	64	65	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.27	-15	14	-29	18.9	13.3	5.56	14.8	17.5	-2.63
Brent Price	38	42	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.53	-7	6	-13	17.9	17.0	0.94	14.2	16.7	-2.48

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thurl Bailey	35	33	0.98	-0.48	1.47	0.51	16	-15	31	14.4	16.3	-1.84	20.1	15.8	4.30
Shandon Anderson	45	43	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.55	14	-13	27	14.3	16.9	-2.59	18.6	16.2	2.31
John Stockton	54	51	0.94	-0.44	1.37	0.61	11	-10	21	14.1	17.8	-3.68	17.3	17.5	-0.14
Bryon Russell	68	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.46	2	-1	3	15.7	15.1	0.56	17.6	16.7	0.91
Karl Malone	67	69	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.47	1	0	1	15.4	15.8	-0.36	16.7	20.2	-3.57
Adam Keefe	20	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	2	-3	15.1	15.7	-0.56	16.7	17.6	-0.91
Todd Fuller	27	24	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.10	-7	8	-15	13.2	16.6	-3.34	14.8	18.4	-3.59
Greg Foster	8	9	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	7	-13	16.7	15.4	1.34	20.0	17.1	2.91
Greg Ostertag	39	39	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.19	-2	3	-5	18.0	13.6	4.47	17.4	17.4	0.08
Howard Eisley	34	36	-0.44	0.94	-1.37	-0.14	-10	11	-21	17.8	14.1	3.68	17.5	17.3	0.14
Jeff Hornacek	43	44	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	-0.08	-13	14	-27	16.9	14.3	2.59	16.2	18.6	-2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.31,0.21,0.45,0.63,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 85, DAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.24,0.37,0.67,0.95,1	92.6%
NYK 87, CLE 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.19,0.28,0.43,0.42,1	92.1%
IND 96, CHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.31,0.45,0.34,0.57,1	92.0%