NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	87		Excitement	7.9 [286]		MVP	Ronald Murray (CLE): +29.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	14.6 [146]		LVP	Jalen Rose (NYK): -18.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0.21	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.15	0.05	-0.01	20	70%	0.29	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,0.2,0.16	-0.03	0.19	0.00	17	45%	0.22	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.10
Jerome James	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David Lee	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackie Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	10	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.06
Ime Udoka	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	6	56%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18,-0.18	-0.04	-0.15	0.00	5	60%	0.01	3	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.29	0.29	-0.03	0.33	0.01	9	44%	0.35	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.03
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	11	71%	0.18	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.05
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.07	-0.04	10	61%	0.22	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.04
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.05	0.10	-0.02	24	48%	0.18	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.03
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	36%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	2	0%	-0.16	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	3.3	28.5	19.6	32.2	3.5	47.2	162.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +7.2%

CLE +27.9%

NYK -0.3%

CLE +20.1%

NYK -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	17.5	14.7	15.6	97.8	101.1	104.4
season	15.7	16.2		102.1	105.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		103.9	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.0	18.2	14.4	19.5	17.5
CLE	14.7	16.9	16.9	10.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	49	48	0.35	-0.85	1.21	-0.03	13	-17	30	16.3	19.0	-2.72	15.6	13.5	2.10
Qyntel Woods	49	50	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.24	15	-19	34	15.9	19.5	-3.67	15.1	14.1	1.02
Jerome James	27	25	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.13	-3	-1	-2	18.3	17.2	1.16	15.6	14.3	1.29
David Lee	10	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-1	-2	20.5	17.2	3.35	16.0	14.5	1.50
Ime Udoka	15	15	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	2	-8	18.1	17.4	0.73	15.7	14.5	1.20
Jackie Butler	15	17	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	4	-12	17.9	17.5	0.41	14.1	14.8	-0.68
Eddy Curry	32	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.48	6	-10	16	17.6	17.5	0.10	15.2	14.4	0.82
Nate Robinson	85	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.39	-3	-1	-2	17.6	16.0	1.60	14.4	20.7	-6.37
Jamal Crawford	86	87	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.37	-7	3	-10	17.8	9.7	8.14	14.5	18.7	-4.14
Maurice Taylor	42	43	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.36	-10	6	-16	18.5	16.7	1.75	13.5	15.7	-2.26
Jalen Rose	35	35	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.26	-14	10	-24	17.7	17.4	0.21	13.5	15.4	-1.98

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	52	52	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.56	6	-2	8	13.5	16.3	-2.85	18.5	16.1	2.43
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	54	55	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.45	8	-4	12	13.6	16.3	-2.78	18.4	16.2	2.19
Larry Hughes	78	76	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	-1	6	14.3	16.9	-2.60	17.6	16.9	0.71
Anderson Varejao	51	50	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.46	4	0	4	13.9	15.7	-1.86	17.0	18.2	-1.16
Ronald Murray	57	57	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.41	5	-1	6	14.0	15.9	-1.91	18.5	15.9	2.58
Sasha Pavlovic	20	19	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	3	-2	18.1	13.7	4.48	15.6	18.0	-2.41
Ira Newble	20	21	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.06	-2	6	-8	13.4	15.0	-1.63	15.9	18.0	-2.12
Donyell Marshall	44	42	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.14	0	4	-4	15.8	13.5	2.30	15.6	19.2	-3.57
Drew Gooden	31	31	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.05	-3	7	-10	16.3	13.8	2.43	19.4	16.5	2.90
Damon Jones	45	44	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.16	-4	8	-12	15.9	13.4	2.53	16.0	19.0	-2.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.19,0.28,0.43,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 77, LAC 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.1,0.19,0.28,0.33,0.42,1	92.7%
HOU 87, UTA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.31,0.21,0.45,0.63,1	92.1%
GSW 116, LAL 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.27,0.32,0.45,0.43,0.27,1	91.8%