NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	77		Excitement	7.6 [309]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): +17.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	82		Comeback	24.2 [64]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -21.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	13	47%	0.00	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Michael Curry	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11	0.01	-0.11	0.02	4	70%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	15	33%	-0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.18	-0.06	-0.13	-0.01	27	43%	-0.14	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Ben Wallace	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18	-0.07	-0.13	-0.02	5	60%	-0.11	4	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,0.18	0.18	0.01	0.17	-0.00	8	69%	0.25	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	7	78%	0.13	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,-0.04,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.00	19	60%	0.13	3	-0.12	4	75%	0.03
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.05	-0.01	16	35%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	8	43%	-0.04	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.03
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	4	0%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.17	-0.06	-0.01	10	18%	-0.13	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	28.2	15.5	25.4	1.7	34.2	131.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +64.4%

LAC +6.6%

LAC +5.5%

DET -23.1%

DET -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAC	NBA	DET	LAC	NBA
this game	14.8	16.3	15.6	83.7	88.2	102.3
season	15.7	15.9		101.9	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.8		104.1	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.0	14.9	14.0	17.7	14.8
LAC	15.8	13.3	20.2	16.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zeljko Rebraca	31	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-2	-1	14.2	15.2	-0.94	13.9	17.4	-3.51
Corliss Williamson	44	45	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.13	-6	1	-7	14.0	15.6	-1.62	14.1	18.3	-4.20
Damon Jones	32	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.05	-5	0	-5	15.2	14.7	0.52	13.4	17.9	-4.52
Jon Barry	31	34	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	3	-11	15.7	14.4	1.25	14.1	17.5	-3.36
Ben Wallace	76	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-7	9	14.9	14.5	0.42	17.3	12.0	5.31
Michael Curry	48	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-2	-1	15.6	14.0	1.58	18.2	14.3	3.95
Jerry Stackhouse	71	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.43	2	-7	9	14.3	16.6	-2.23	17.0	13.7	3.38
Chucky Atkins	60	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-5	5	14.7	15.2	-0.52	17.9	13.4	4.52
Clifford Robinson	67	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.43	-4	-1	-3	15.2	13.8	1.38	16.5	15.5	0.99

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	54	55	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.44	14	-9	23	14.1	19.3	-5.17	15.0	14.6	0.33
Darius Miles	54	54	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.40	14	-9	23	14.6	18.6	-3.93	15.0	14.6	0.41
Lamar Odom	70	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	2	1	17.7	12.0	5.63	15.4	13.0	2.43
Elton Brand	65	65	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.47	1	4	-3	17.7	12.9	4.79	15.4	13.6	1.83
Jeff McInnis	84	81	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.40	3	2	1	16.5	14.7	1.79	14.7	16.0	-1.31
Earl Boykins	15	16	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.16	8	-3	11	16.6	16.2	0.38	15.2	14.8	0.49
Michael Olowokandi	55	54	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.18	4	1	3	15.8	17.0	-1.26	14.8	14.9	-0.04
Sean Rooks	27	25	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.03	-3	8	-11	13.7	17.3	-3.63	13.1	15.5	-2.43
Corey Maggette	41	40	-0.57	1.07	-1.64	-0.01	-19	24	-43	18.6	14.5	4.08	13.8	15.6	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.1,0.19,0.28,0.33,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 87, CLE 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.19,0.28,0.43,0.42,1	92.7%
LAC 70, DEN 72	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.31,0.37,0.22,0.26,1	92.6%
GSW 116, LAL 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.27,0.32,0.45,0.43,0.27,1	92.5%