NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	85		Excitement	6.4 [507]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +51.7%
Dallas Mavericks	96		Comeback	67.0 [40]		LVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): -13.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.08	0.02	-0.09	15	39%	0.09	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Wesley Matthews	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	57%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Ronnie Price	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.05	0.01	9	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kyrylo Fesenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.08	-0.03	19	52%	-0.00	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	12	50%	0.09	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	9	33%	-0.05	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Paul Millsap	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	7	33%	-0.04	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.12,0.24,0.43,0.52,0.52	0.52	0.26	0.31	0.06	22	67%	0.52	0	0.00	16	94%	0.06
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	42%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	11	79%	0.15	7	-0.20	2	100%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	7	31%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	13	36%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	15	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.6	28.2	15.8	28.3	2.3	32.7	133.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +15.5%

DAL +12.2%

DAL +20.3%

DAL +2.5%

UTA -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DAL	NBA	UTA	DAL	NBA
this game	16.2	13.8	15.3	89.5	99.0	106.0
season	15.3	15.2		109.5	107.2
opponent	15.5	15.0		104.6	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.5	17.6	15.0	16.0	16.2
DAL	12.9	15.1	15.0	12.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	40	41	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.01	11	-22	33	17.0	15.7	1.40	14.4	13.3	1.14
Kyrylo Fesenko	22	23	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.09	2	-13	15	16.6	16.1	0.51	12.7	14.1	-1.43
Wesley Matthews	27	29	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.08	-2	-9	7	17.3	15.8	1.52	13.9	13.7	0.11
Kosta Koufos	1	0	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-11	11	2.0	16.4	-14.39	0.0	13.8	-13.78
Ronnie Price	15	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-11	11	16.8	16.1	0.66	13.7	13.8	-0.04
Deron Williams	86	87	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.18	-8	-3	-5	16.3	16.1	0.14	13.5	16.3	-2.81
Andrei Kirilenko	70	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-7	3	15.7	17.7	-2.01	13.8	13.6	0.21
Mehmet Okur	78	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	-3	-5	15.9	17.8	-1.93	13.9	13.1	0.89
Ronnie Brewer	87	89	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.13	-19	8	-27	16.2	16.5	-0.28	14.0	11.4	2.63
Carlos Boozer	49	51	-0.97	0.47	-1.43	-0.17	-27	16	-43	16.2	16.2	0.01	13.5	14.1	-0.62

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	81	80	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.16	23	-12	35	13.1	17.4	-4.30	16.1	16.9	-0.82
Erick Dampier	76	75	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.14	19	-8	27	13.6	14.6	-1.07	16.7	14.3	2.40
Shawn Marion	77	78	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.09	19	-8	27	13.7	14.1	-0.40	16.5	15.0	1.51
Jason Terry	69	68	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	0	11	13.7	14.0	-0.35	16.1	16.6	-0.44
Jason Kidd	74	74	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	0	11	13.4	15.0	-1.59	16.1	16.7	-0.55
Quinton Ross	17	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	12.1	14.1	-2.02	15.9	16.3	-0.37
Matt Carroll	14	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	14	-17	15.6	13.5	2.17	14.6	16.5	-1.88
Jose Juan Barea	38	36	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.15	1	10	-9	14.8	13.2	1.61	16.7	16.0	0.68
James Singleton	8	7	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	20	-29	19.5	13.3	6.23	14.9	16.4	-1.50
Kris Humphries	31	29	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	0.03	-16	27	-43	14.9	13.2	1.69	15.9	16.4	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.24,0.37,0.67,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 74, PHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.39,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.25,0.46,0.55,0.91,1	93.1%
HOU 87, UTA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.31,0.21,0.45,0.63,1	92.6%
DEN 106, LAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.19,0.54,0.78,0.92,1	91.9%