NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	115		Excitement	10.8 [41]		MVP	Wesley Person (PHX): +55.1%
Phoenix Suns	122		Comeback	46.4 [34]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (GSW): -26.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.00	12	73%	0.19	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Mark Price	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	11	67%	0.13	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Todd Fuller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Booker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	5	69%	0.00	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	12	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	1	62%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Felton Spencer	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Scott Burrell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	7	43%	0.03	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	14	53%	-0.06	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.08
Latrell Sprewell	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.27,-0.27	-0.07	-0.21	-0.02	28	50%	-0.11	5	-0.16	6	67%	0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55	0.55	0.18	0.37	-0.00	18	74%	0.57	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	9	78%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	0.04
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	9	61%	0.08	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horacio Llamas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.01,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	27	55%	0.18	5	-0.21	15	100%	0.21
Loren Meyer	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	6	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rex Chapman	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.39,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	18	44%	0.05	4	-0.19	5	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.5	2.4	25.4	15.4	24.4	2.4	36.8	1.5	15.3	151.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +39.4%

PHX +29.9%

GSW -12.0%

PHX +8.6%

GSW -15.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHX	NBA	GSW	PHX	NBA
this game	14.5	15.4	15.6	107.5	115.1	104.4
season	15.0	14.6		104.4	106.8
opponent	15.6	15.4		106.5	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
GSW	11.3	15.7	15.2	16.8	13.5	14.5
PHX	15.4	14.3	17.5	14.5	15.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Price	57	57	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.05	6	-13	19	14.1	14.9	-0.81	16.1	14.5	1.57
Felton Spencer	19	20	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.20	-6	-1	-5	11.8	15.1	-3.28	14.9	15.5	-0.53
Donyell Marshall	51	52	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-6	5	13.8	15.1	-1.27	16.3	14.4	1.90
Andrew DeClercq	30	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.37	9	-16	25	13.6	14.8	-1.28	15.5	15.3	0.19
Joe Smith	82	81	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-11	15	14.4	14.7	-0.25	15.7	14.5	1.17
Todd Fuller	17	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	0	-7	15.6	14.3	1.38	16.8	15.1	1.69
Scott Burrell	49	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-1	-5	15.5	13.6	1.93	14.7	15.9	-1.23
Latrell Sprewell	107	106	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	14.5	0.0	14.49	15.4	0.0	15.38
Chris Mullin	73	71	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.37	-14	7	-21	15.1	13.1	2.01	14.5	17.1	-2.51

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	78	79	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.36	13	-6	19	15.0	16.5	-1.57	15.4	12.0	3.32
Steve Nash	17	15	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.25	15	-8	23	13.5	15.7	-2.27	15.0	14.4	0.60
Rex Chapman	98	98	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.26	12	-5	17	15.6	13.2	2.30	14.7	11.8	2.96
Hot Rod Williams	91	91	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.32	9	-2	11	15.5	14.6	0.91	14.4	15.2	-0.90
Kevin Johnson	106	107	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	15.4	0.0	15.38	14.5	0.0	14.49
Horacio Llamas	3	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	7	-7	12.7	15.5	-2.79	12.3	14.5	-2.21
Danny Manning	55	58	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.10	-6	13	-19	15.9	14.8	1.14	15.4	13.3	2.10
Loren Meyer	24	25	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.03	-6	13	-19	16.2	15.1	1.02	11.4	15.4	-4.03
Jason Kidd	58	59	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.07	-9	16	-25	15.3	15.5	-0.19	13.5	15.7	-2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.3,0.62,0.63,0.77,0.92,0.71,0.61,0.68,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 88, CHH 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.46,0.23,0.26,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.77,0.99,1	87.7%
MEM 102, UTA 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.26,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.46,0.23,0.73,1	87.3%
PHI 98, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.36,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.71,0.55,0.9,1	87.0%