NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	98		Excitement	11.5 [15]		MVP	JJ Redick (ORL): +33.7%
Orlando Magic	99		Comeback	55.5 [43]		LVP	Lou Williams (PHI): -46.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22	0.12	0.09	0.00	10	77%	0.22	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	-0.00	0.15	0.00	14	52%	0.19	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Tony Battie	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	80%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	4	37%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.01,0.06,0,0.07,0.13,0.24,-0.04	-0.05	0.02	0.01	11	47%	0.07	3	-0.12	10	70%	0.01
Elton Brand	-0.19	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	11	33%	-0.08	2	-0.10	2	0%	-0.03
Evan Turner	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.24	0.00	-0.26	-0.01	10	45%	-0.24	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Williams	-0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.25,-0.25,-0.34,-0.34,-0.42,-0.47	-0.07	-0.40	-0.00	17	45%	-0.20	4	-0.27	8	87%	0.04

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.05	0.29	0.00	7	71%	0.44	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.03
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.05	0.00	15	65%	0.21	1	-0.06	1	0%	-0.04
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.08	0.18	-0.01	11	32%	0.20	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.05
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.06	0.00	7	63%	0.15	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.04
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	15	53%	0.03	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.15	-0.00	5	56%	0.02	4	-0.20	22	45%	-0.27
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21	-0.21	-0.06	-0.15	-0.00	11	38%	-0.15	1	-0.07	7	71%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.5	2.3	31.3	16.4	26.0	0.3	44.3	1.6	11.0	160.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +75.3%

ORL +7.7%

PHI -17.1%

PHI -15.0%

PHI -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	16.5	13.6	15.5	94.2	92.5	105.7
season	15.5	15.2		104.6	106.3
opponent	16.2	15.5		101.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	16.6	16.3	15.6	16.7	19.6	16.5
ORL	14.1	15.0	13.2	11.6	15.9	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	17	15	0.87	-1.37	2.24	0.52	12	-13	25	17.5	16.4	1.17	15.4	13.3	2.05
Jason Kapono	7	7	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-4	7	14.4	16.7	-2.27	15.7	13.5	2.22
Spencer Hawes	31	32	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	0	-1	16.1	16.8	-0.69	13.7	13.6	0.07
Elton Brand	65	66	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	0	-1	16.8	16.2	0.55	13.1	14.6	-1.50
Jrue Holiday	69	72	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	4	-9	16.2	17.2	-1.03	13.2	14.6	-1.43
Marreese Speights	18	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	0	-1	14.3	17.0	-2.68	15.6	13.2	2.31
Lou Williams	76	78	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.58	13	-14	27	16.2	17.5	-1.35	13.4	14.2	-0.83
Jodie Meeks	28	29	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	9	-19	17.2	16.3	0.86	13.5	13.7	-0.16
Andre Iguodala	70	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.41	-5	4	-9	17.1	15.4	1.64	13.7	13.5	0.25
Thaddeus Young	66	68	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.51	-6	5	-11	17.0	15.8	1.15	13.5	13.9	-0.37
Evan Turner	65	70	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.76	-3	2	-5	16.3	17.0	-0.68	13.6	13.7	-0.06

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	79	76	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.58	3	-2	5	13.5	14.1	-0.59	16.7	16.2	0.46
JJ Redick	64	63	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	-3	7	13.5	13.8	-0.30	16.9	16.0	0.82
Ryan Anderson	58	56	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.25	9	-8	17	13.5	13.8	-0.22	16.3	16.9	-0.61
Brandon Bass	79	75	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.64	-10	11	-21	13.8	13.2	0.57	16.0	18.0	-1.97
Jameer Nelson	82	81	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.30	-2	3	-5	13.6	13.6	-0.01	17.0	14.8	2.27
Hedo Turkoglu	85	83	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.35	-5	6	-11	13.5	14.0	-0.46	16.3	17.6	-1.34
Gilbert Arenas	29	26	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.17	1	0	1	14.4	13.3	1.11	14.8	17.1	-2.27
Dwight Howard	59	60	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.37	5	-4	9	13.6	13.7	-0.06	17.4	15.3	2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.36,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.71,0.55,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 82, ATL 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.57,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.69,0.85,1	89.7%
MIA 89, LAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.91,0.84,1	89.4%
NYK 98, ATL 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.64,0.9,0.84,1	89.0%