NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	79		Excitement	3.2 [1104]		MVP	Alonzo Mourning (MIA): +6.2%
Miami Heat	83		Comeback	1.0 [1217]		LVP	Danny Ferry (CLE): -17.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.04	0.08	10	75%	0.06	1	-0.00	8	100%	0.06
Shawnelle Scott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	80%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Reggie Geary	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Donny Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	3	12%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mark West	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Lang	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08	0.04	-0.06	0.06	10	64%	-0.06	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Bob Sura	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13	-0.16	-0.04	-0.07	6	37%	-0.04	4	-0.10	12	75%	0.03
Danny Ferry	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.17	-0.07	-0.08	0.02	12	42%	-0.10	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.01	-0.07	12	68%	0.06	5	-0.00	10	70%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Keith Askins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	69%	0.01	1	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	70%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.12	-0.00	-0.10	17	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Willie Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	-0.02	-0.06	10	27%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Voshon Lenard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.17	-0.02	-0.10	10	18%	-0.07	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.7	31.1	34.7	30.2	2.4	42.7	168.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +35.6%

CLE -13.7%

MIA +13.9%

MIA +8.4%

MIA +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIA	NBA	CLE	MIA	NBA
this game	16.4	16.9	15.6	91.9	95.4	104.4
season	17.8	15.8		102.1	103.1
opponent	16.3	16.1		98.3	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	20.1	16.1	16.6	13.3	16.4
MIA	14.5	16.6	17.7	18.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Geary	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-8	12	13.7	16.8	-3.16	16.7	16.9	-0.28
Shawnelle Scott	18	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-10	16	16.4	16.4	0.08	17.3	16.8	0.47
Donny Marshall	42	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	0	-4	16.5	16.3	0.18	16.5	17.2	-0.77
Vitaly Potapenko	44	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.45	10	-14	24	15.4	17.4	-2.04	16.9	17.0	-0.09
Antonio Lang	41	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.38	7	-11	18	14.7	18.0	-3.30	18.0	15.9	2.07
Bob Sura	71	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.57	12	-16	28	15.4	21.1	-5.67	17.5	14.3	3.18
Mark West	18	18	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	5	-14	19.2	15.6	3.52	14.7	17.5	-2.76
Chris Mills	68	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.40	3	-7	10	16.2	17.0	-0.78	17.3	15.0	2.34
Bobby Phills	19	21	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.22	-19	15	-34	21.7	14.9	6.80	14.5	17.7	-3.21
Terrell Brandon	26	27	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.30	-24	20	-44	19.0	15.2	3.81	15.2	17.7	-2.50
Danny Ferry	71	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.32	-6	2	-8	16.4	16.1	0.30	17.4	14.6	2.79

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Mashburn	57	55	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.11	15	-11	26	17.0	16.8	0.16	17.1	15.0	2.11
Alonzo Mourning	56	58	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.05	12	-8	20	16.5	17.6	-1.10	16.9	15.2	1.68
P.J. Brown	60	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	5	-6	17.0	16.7	0.24	16.5	16.1	0.36
Voshon Lenard	44	44	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	-5	14	16.5	17.3	-0.83	17.6	15.1	2.47
Tim Hardaway	74	72	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.42	-4	8	-12	16.7	17.9	-1.19	16.6	15.5	1.06
John Crotty	38	38	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	3	-2	18.0	16.0	1.99	15.2	17.3	-2.15
Keith Askins	44	45	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.22	-2	6	-8	16.5	17.3	-0.73	15.4	17.5	-2.06
Willie Anderson	30	30	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	7	-10	16.4	17.2	-0.72	14.6	17.3	-2.69
Ike Austin	32	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.25	-7	11	-18	17.9	16.3	1.63	16.3	16.4	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 93, DAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.87,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	96.2%
ATL 90, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.1%
NYK 92, BOS 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%