inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 90 Excitement3.0 [1181] MVPAntonio McDyess (SAS): +7.6%
San Antonio Spurs 105 Comeback1.0 [941] LVPAl Horford (ATL): -7.9%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Johnson0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.100.000.062660%0.062-0.0200%0.00
Jamal Crawford0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.12-0.010.081962%0.061-0.022100%0.00
Maurice Evans0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01462%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Randolph Morris0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario West-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0310%-0.0000.0020%0.00
Joe Smith-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Marvin Williams-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.020.000.04750%-0.0300.00667%-0.01
Zaza Pachulia-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.02312%-0.021-0.03250%-0.01
Mike Bibby-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.110.00-0.0570%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Josh Smith-0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.010.02947%-0.042-0.021267%-0.02
Al Horford-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.090.00-0.011020%-0.0800.0000%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antonio McDyess0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.12-0.010.04981%0.101-0.03333%-0.01
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.023100%0.0400.0000%0.00
George Hill0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.090.010.06973%0.071-0.03475%-0.00
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.03955%0.051-0.01250%-0.01
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.00-0.041640%0.0300.003100%0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.00-0.042041%0.0200.0011100%0.02
Tony Parker0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.050.01-0.061043%0.043-0.03367%-0.01
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03450%0.012-0.0100%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.02633%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ian Mahinmi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.0200%-0.0100.0020%-0.01
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.02617%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.42.029.614.827.02.431.6132.9
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +30.4%
SAS +9.0%
SAS +10.7%
SAS +0.0%
ATL -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLSASNBAATLSASNBA
this game15.315.915.395.7115.4106.0
season16.015.9109.4108.2
opponent15.115.8103.4106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL16.615.714.613.915.3
SAS13.216.316.018.015.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario West540.00-0.500.500.000-15159.615.6-5.9719.015.73.25
Randolph Morris44-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-151512.015.4-3.4019.015.73.25
Joe Smith98-0.06-0.440.38-0.00-2-131114.115.4-1.2717.115.81.35
Marvin Williams4947-0.07-0.430.35-0.318-233114.715.8-1.1314.717.1-2.41
Jeff Teague1211-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-11715.815.20.6617.415.71.68
Zaza Pachulia3029-0.24-0.260.020.11-12-3-915.515.10.3615.616.0-0.50
Maurice Evans3129-0.24-0.260.020.05-10-5-515.914.91.0116.215.70.46
Al Horford5554-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.07-7-8115.914.31.5816.015.80.22
Jamal Crawford6868-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.12-6-9314.218.0-3.8516.713.53.23
Mike Bibby4948-0.33-0.17-0.160.08-14-1-1316.513.92.6215.716.1-0.43
Josh Smith7976-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.06-13-2-1115.613.42.2115.816.1-0.29
Joe Johnson7977-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.01-150-1515.115.9-0.8115.318.9-3.59

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio McDyess52530.340.160.18-0.101501516.215.50.6615.914.41.58
Tim Duncan67690.340.160.180.05105516.115.40.6415.016.0-1.07
Tony Parker51530.310.190.120.0496315.216.7-1.4915.714.71.02
Manu Ginobili55590.290.210.08-0.03114715.816.0-0.1813.917.5-3.64
Roger Mason Jr.24220.290.210.07-0.07123916.615.61.0016.914.72.16
DeJuan Blair31310.250.250.01-0.0196315.516.1-0.5216.214.81.45
Richard Jefferson60630.230.27-0.030.15312-916.115.50.6715.914.01.87
Keith Bogans36370.190.31-0.120.13213-1115.816.0-0.1915.215.3-0.15
George Hill48510.180.32-0.140.0069-315.816.0-0.1214.716.0-1.29
Matt Bonner27290.070.43-0.370.10-116-1715.516.0-0.5314.715.5-0.77
Ian Mahinmi430.010.49-0.480.04-116-1717.715.81.959.715.4-5.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 103, SAC 1120.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,196.6%
MIL 93, HOU 1150.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
ATL 99, HOU 1180.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%