NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	93		Excitement	2.9 [1150]		MVP	Walt Williams (HOU): +11.8%
Houston Rockets	115		Comeback	1.0 [821]		LVP	Jason Caffey (MIL): -8.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	87%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	2	100%	0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	19	57%	0.02	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	15	58%	0.02	4	-0.05	8	100%	0.02
Ray Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	17	46%	-0.03	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.01
Jason Caffey	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	37%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.00	-0.03	16	74%	0.14	4	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.04	8	81%	0.07	1	-0.01	15	87%	0.01
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	9	78%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	6	57%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	10	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	44%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	14	42%	-0.04	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	284.3	2.4	35.2	14.8	31.2	1.8	26.2	396.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +31.2%

HOU +3.8%

HOU +4.1%

HOU +5.6%

HOU +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	HOU	NBA	MIL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.4	16.6	15.5	100.0	123.7	100.9
season	14.9	16.3		105.9	104.6
opponent	14.9	15.8		102.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.3	11.7	13.6	18.1	14.4
HOU	16.0	16.6	15.2	18.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Redd	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-20	18	18.4	14.2	4.23	13.0	16.8	-3.77
Rafer Alston	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-20	18	18.4	14.2	4.23	13.0	16.8	-3.77
Scott Williams	22	22	-0.14	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-16	10	13.7	14.6	-0.88	16.6	16.5	0.09
Ervin Johnson	34	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-17	12	14.9	14.1	0.86	14.9	17.5	-2.66
Jason Caffey	31	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-15	8	13.8	14.7	-0.84	17.9	15.9	2.04
Glenn Robinson	74	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.04	-9	-13	4	13.6	17.6	-4.06	16.2	17.8	-1.60
Tim Thomas	40	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-11	0	15.4	13.6	1.80	18.2	15.3	2.91
Ray Allen	65	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-12	2	13.4	16.7	-3.37	16.1	17.7	-1.60
Lindsey Hunter	47	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.29	-22	0	-22	15.2	13.6	1.56	17.1	16.0	1.08
Darvin Ham	64	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.11	-17	-5	-12	14.7	13.7	1.03	16.7	16.2	0.55
Sam Cassell	78	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.12	-19	-3	-16	14.4	14.2	0.24	16.6	16.5	0.05

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	79	79	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.22	25	-3	28	16.5	16.7	-0.17	14.8	11.9	2.99
Steve Francis	58	61	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.10	14	8	6	15.5	18.3	-2.75	14.8	13.6	1.18
Shandon Anderson	71	71	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.12	14	8	6	15.7	19.4	-3.66	14.1	15.5	-1.44
Moochie Norris	43	41	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	9	4	18.3	15.1	3.27	13.8	14.9	-1.06
Matt Bullard	43	42	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.21	16	6	10	17.5	15.7	1.79	15.3	13.6	1.71
Carlos Rogers	25	26	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	13	-4	17.9	16.1	1.79	12.2	15.3	-3.11
Hakeem Olajuwon	37	37	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	15	-8	15.5	17.3	-1.75	15.1	13.9	1.13
Cuttino Mobley	52	52	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.07	8	14	-6	17.4	15.5	1.85	13.9	15.0	-1.12
Maurice Taylor	51	50	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	23	-24	16.0	17.3	-1.26	14.2	14.6	-0.34
Kelvin Cato	6	6	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	17	-12	16.5	16.6	-0.07	17.0	14.2	2.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 90, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.6%
CLE 73, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
MIN 109, UTA 126	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%