NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	109		Excitement	3.8 [1010]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +9.2%
Utah Jazz	126		Comeback	1.0 [1239]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (MIN): -11.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bill Curley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Jordan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Terry Porter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	10	58%	0.05	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	12	62%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Stanley Roberts	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Micheal Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Wheat	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	9	61%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	17	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	0.00	-0.03	17	53%	-0.01	7	-0.10	13	77%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.04	-0.07	28	59%	0.15	5	-0.06	19	84%	0.02
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	8	80%	0.10	1	-0.01	9	78%	-0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.14	0.00	0.07	7	100%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.04	-0.04	4	50%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	69%	0.04	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	11	65%	0.01	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	7	41%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	67.4	1.8	28.2	14.7	29.0	1.8	30.0	172.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +21.4%

UTA +14.0%

UTA +11.0%

MIN -2.0%

UTA +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	13.7	15.5	15.6	110.1	128.6	102.5
season	14.8	15.9		105.3	108.1
opponent	15.9	15.7		102.1	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.9	13.0	12.9	15.3	13.7
UTA	14.9	14.2	17.1	16.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bill Curley	27	27	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.05	0	-17	17	11.0	14.8	-3.78	16.1	15.3	0.79
DeJuan Wheat	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-14	11	9.7	13.9	-4.21	19.0	15.4	3.57
Reggie Jordan	45	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-21	25	12.9	14.5	-1.57	15.4	15.6	-0.18
Micheal Williams	6	5	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-12	7	11.2	13.9	-2.75	16.4	15.5	0.95
Stephon Marbury	84	84	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-13	9	13.6	14.4	-0.77	15.5	15.3	0.25
Cherokee Parks	22	21	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.13	-13	-4	-9	14.0	13.7	0.38	14.5	15.8	-1.24
Stanley Roberts	21	23	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	-7	-3	15.2	13.4	1.83	14.3	15.9	-1.62
Terry Porter	84	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-7	-3	13.6	14.5	-0.85	15.7	14.6	1.16
Sam Mitchell	66	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.02	-14	-3	-11	13.9	13.4	0.48	15.6	15.3	0.38
Anthony Peeler	55	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.17	-19	2	-21	15.0	12.2	2.86	15.9	15.0	0.96
Kevin Garnett	82	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.16	-11	-6	-5	14.3	11.2	3.10	15.2	17.1	-1.87

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	75	74	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.01	18	-1	19	14.9	17.4	-2.47	14.0	12.9	1.16
John Stockton	54	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.13	17	0	17	15.4	15.6	-0.25	14.7	12.7	1.96
Shandon Anderson	38	40	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.07	15	2	13	14.7	16.0	-1.38	14.2	13.4	0.84
Bryon Russell	69	70	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	12	-7	15.9	14.6	1.30	13.6	14.1	-0.55
Chris Morris	45	44	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	11	-5	16.0	15.1	0.88	14.0	13.6	0.41
Greg Foster	32	32	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	13	-9	14.3	16.1	-1.76	13.7	13.8	-0.13
Adam Keefe	39	39	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.05	8	9	-1	15.1	15.8	-0.75	13.6	13.8	-0.22
Greg Ostertag	15	18	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.12	9	8	1	15.1	15.6	-0.43	12.2	14.1	-1.86
Jeff Hornacek	60	59	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.07	2	15	-13	16.0	14.7	1.38	13.4	14.2	-0.84
Howard Eisley	42	43	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	20	-23	15.5	15.5	-0.04	12.9	14.4	-1.49
Antoine Carr	19	20	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	16	-15	18.5	14.8	3.69	14.5	13.6	0.94
Jacque Vaughn	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	14	-11	19.0	15.4	3.57	9.7	13.9	-4.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 93, HOU 115	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
MIL 90, NJN 107	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
NJN 91, MIN 105	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%