inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 73 Excitement2.7 [1245] MVPJames Posey (MIA): +10.6%
Miami Heat 101 Comeback1.0 [1304] LVPJason Williams (MIA): -9.1%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anderson Varejao0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.00-0.04537%0.0200.00633%-0.02
Alan Henderson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.00-0.0800%0.0020.0040%0.00
Mike Wilks0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Martynas Andriuskevicius0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luke Jackson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00440%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Eric Snow-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02333%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.020,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.01850%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.110.00-0.081136%0.024-0.0500%0.00
Damon Jones-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.02621%-0.0400.0020%-0.02
Donyell Marshall-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.01625%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.110.00-0.051133%-0.033-0.022100%-0.00
LeBron James-0.080,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.080.03-0.000.102948%-0.061-0.023100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Posey0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.060.01-0.04961%0.1100.0000%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.010.02978%0.091-0.0100%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.00-0.00960%0.0600.00250%-0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.03-0.00-0.022056%0.083-0.03367%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.011100%0.051-0.024100%0.01
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wayne Simien0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00650%0.011-0.02250%-0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.060.000.101562%0.023-0.05425%-0.01
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.210.00-0.121018%-0.055-0.0420%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.03.434.520.425.53.430.2141.4
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +45.0%
MIA +4.4%
MIA +2.2%
CLE -4.2%
MIA +2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEMIANBACLEMIANBA
this game16.813.815.678.5106.3104.4
season16.215.5105.6106.1
opponent15.515.5102.3103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE17.417.714.517.716.8
MIA13.912.316.113.013.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alan Henderson19190.00-0.500.500.12-4-242014.417.4-3.0212.914.1-1.18
Mike Wilks12120.00-0.500.500.21-7-211414.317.2-2.8612.514.0-1.54
Martynas Andriuskevicius660.00-0.500.500.000-282812.017.2-5.1617.513.63.90
Luke Jackson2425-0.04-0.460.420.26-10-18815.217.4-2.1813.414.0-0.55
Zydrunas Ilgauskas4548-0.09-0.410.33-0.121-293016.217.4-1.2614.812.91.92
Eric Snow5255-0.21-0.290.08-0.03-6-221616.517.2-0.7414.213.30.94
Anderson Varejao3938-0.24-0.260.020.20-15-13-217.616.31.3112.914.5-1.62
Drew Gooden3536-0.28-0.22-0.060.19-16-12-417.116.70.4613.913.80.16
Sasha Pavlovic7374-0.40-0.10-0.290.31-24-4-2016.816.9-0.0914.113.01.08
Damon Jones4242-0.40-0.10-0.290.25-22-6-1618.415.62.7913.314.2-0.91
Donyell Marshall4243-0.40-0.10-0.300.25-22-6-1618.415.62.7913.514.2-0.69
LeBron James7677-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.02-15-13-217.115.51.6613.913.40.56

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Posey75740.500.000.50-0.031810814.013.10.8817.414.62.76
Antoine Walker38380.450.050.40-0.6638-104810.915.8-4.9119.215.24.07
Dwyane Wade71710.420.080.35-0.4630-23212.916.7-3.8917.315.41.86
Jason Williams53510.370.130.25-0.4829-13013.214.6-1.4417.116.50.51
Alonzo Mourning34340.330.170.16-0.081414012.914.3-1.4018.016.11.89
Gary Payton74710.200.30-0.09-0.00721-1414.511.72.7916.518.0-1.59
Shaquille O'Neal55540.170.33-0.16-0.241414014.013.60.3816.417.5-1.14
Udonis Haslem51490.050.45-0.400.34-1038-4815.611.83.8115.618.2-2.70
Jason Kapono660.000.50-0.500.00028-2817.513.63.9012.017.2-5.16
Shandon Anderson660.000.50-0.500.00028-2817.513.63.9012.017.2-5.16
Michael Doleac650.000.50-0.500.00028-2817.513.63.9013.817.0-3.20
Wayne Simien660.000.50-0.500.00028-2817.513.63.9012.017.2-5.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 93, HOU 1150.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
SAS 106, SAC 1200.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.71,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.97,0.99,1,1,196.3%
MEM 105, LAL 1240.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%