NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	103		Excitement	3.3 [1126]		MVP	Brad Miller (SAC): +9.1%
Sacramento Kings	112		Comeback	1.0 [612]		LVP	David West (NOH): -9.0%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	0.00	0.07	8	79%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	-0.01	0.06	12	68%	0.07	1	-0.03	7	43%	-0.03
Peja Stojakovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.13	-0.01	0.09	20	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	11	58%	0.02	5	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.02	9	44%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	0.00	0.01	10	50%	-0.02	5	-0.07	4	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.01	13	59%	0.10	1	-0.01	11	64%	-0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	69%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	22	55%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	5	83%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	18	41%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Kevin Martin	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	15	61%	0.05	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.7	28.6	15.7	26.6	2.5	29.7	129.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +25.1%

SAC +4.5%

SAC +6.6%

SAC +9.9%

SAC +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	SAC	NBA	NOH	SAC	NBA
this game	13.8	15.9	15.4	106.2	115.5	105.7
season	15.9	14.9		109.6	105.6
opponent	15.0	15.7		108.0	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	14.8	13.0	13.5	14.1	13.8
SAC	14.6	13.7	17.8	17.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hilton Armstrong	6	5	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.04	2	-11	13	20.3	13.4	6.93	15.6	15.9	-0.27
Bobby Jackson	20	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-7	5	16.1	13.2	2.92	13.6	16.4	-2.76
Ryan Bowen	15	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.12	-10	1	-11	14.2	13.8	0.43	11.7	16.6	-4.88
Morris Peterson	62	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-7	5	13.2	14.9	-1.73	16.6	14.5	2.14
Jannero Pargo	36	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	0	-9	14.5	13.4	1.10	14.5	16.6	-2.14
Tyson Chandler	76	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.34	3	-12	15	12.9	17.1	-4.22	16.5	13.2	3.35
Melvin Ely	15	15	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.15	-14	5	-19	15.9	13.5	2.40	12.4	16.5	-4.09
Peja Stojakovic	89	89	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-7	5	13.6	16.9	-3.31	16.2	12.4	3.79
Chris Paul	76	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-4	-1	13.4	15.4	-1.97	16.4	13.6	2.76
David West	90	90	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	-3	-3	14.0	11.1	2.90	16.2	11.0	5.23

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	80	79	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.16	13	-4	17	16.2	14.0	2.25	13.6	15.0	-1.43
Mike Bibby	77	77	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	4	1	16.5	13.4	3.09	13.7	14.3	-0.59
Kevin Martin	78	77	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.19	6	3	3	16.2	14.5	1.65	13.8	14.1	-0.40
Brad Miller	77	78	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.34	-2	11	-13	16.5	13.2	3.28	13.7	14.5	-0.86
Mikki Moore	56	57	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	2	5	15.1	16.8	-1.69	14.5	12.9	1.51
John Salmons	55	55	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	7	-5	16.1	15.6	0.50	13.9	13.7	0.21
Beno Udrih	39	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	3	3	14.4	16.8	-2.37	14.1	13.7	0.45
Francisco Garcia	12	13	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	5	-1	12.7	16.3	-3.64	14.2	13.8	0.46
Spencer Hawes	11	10	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.05	4	5	-1	12.5	16.3	-3.73	13.2	13.9	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 103, MIA 120	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
ATL 90, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.6%
WAS 92, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1	96.5%