inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 91 Excitement7.5 [325] MVPP.J. Brown (MIA): +30.9%
Miami Heat 93 Comeback191.3 [9] LVPJoe Smith (GSW): -35.1%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mark Price0.110,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.31,0.33,0.17,0.110.17-0.050.021383%0.271-0.163100%0.03
Donyell Marshall0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02650%0.021-0.01475%0.01
Melvin Booker0.0000.000.000.0010%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrew DeClercq-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00536%-0.0200.0010%-0.02
Felton Spencer-0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00546%-0.0200.00367%-0.00
Ray Owes-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.0000%-0.0300.0020%-0.03
Scott Burrell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.001100%0.023-0.0700%0.00
Latrell Sprewell-0.130,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13-0.04-0.13-0.041957%-0.025-0.11978%0.01
Chris Mullin-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.02-0.00517%-0.082-0.052100%0.01
Joe Smith-0.350,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.22,-0.28,-0.35,-0.35-0.20-0.17-0.021644%-0.147-0.21967%-0.07

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.17,0.31,0.310.310.080.240.011368%0.341-0.03250%-0.01
Jamal Mashburn0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.020.160.012252%0.1600.001275%-0.01
John Crotty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Keith Askins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00956%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Ed Pinckney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.000.012100%0.042-0.053100%0.01
Voshon Lenard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02-0.02-0.060.04-0.00840%0.031-0.04450%-0.05
Willie Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.0340%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Ike Austin0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.11-0.04-0.00520%-0.063-0.0900%0.00
Tim Hardaway0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2-0.20-0.16-0.06-0.022129%-0.2000.00667%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.61.824.216.728.11.834.01.618.4153.1
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.11.617.8135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +36.9%
GSW -12.9%
MIA +7.3%
MIA +30.2%
GSW -11.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWMIANBAGSWMIANBA
this game16.816.515.694.897.9104.4
season15.015.8104.4103.1
opponent16.315.498.3109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
GSW14.714.620.318.816.316.8
MIA18.913.717.617.215.216.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Felton Spencer39390.66-1.161.82-0.0123-254815.517.7-2.2116.616.50.06
Donyell Marshall54540.16-0.660.82-0.2213-152816.816.80.0217.015.91.10
Scott Burrell14140.03-0.530.56-0.032-4613.417.4-4.0015.616.7-1.04
Andrew DeClercq3232-0.04-0.460.420.17-75-1217.516.41.0516.916.30.53
Ray Owes77-0.15-0.350.190.02-64-1022.116.35.7920.916.24.68
Mark Price7877-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.588-101817.214.92.3216.118.2-2.09
Latrell Sprewell8887-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.41-20-217.212.54.6616.615.60.98
Chris Mullin5857-0.510.01-0.530.04-1917-3616.517.2-0.7715.518.0-2.46
Joe Smith7878-0.610.11-0.73-0.44-64-1017.015.81.2216.715.90.78

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keith Askins63620.93-0.431.360.5214-122615.119.2-4.1117.016.30.69
Jamal Mashburn81830.73-0.230.960.4410-81816.615.90.7016.915.81.16
P.J. Brown72720.54-0.040.580.57-13-416.416.8-0.4016.218.6-2.47
Tim Hardaway76770.460.040.430.55-35-817.114.42.7017.513.93.52
Voshon Lenard68690.270.230.030.59-1113-2415.619.0-3.4017.614.72.93
Willie Anderson23230.120.38-0.27-0.159-71617.816.11.7113.417.8-4.39
John Crotty25260.060.44-0.37-0.178-61417.116.30.7515.917.1-1.16
Ed Pinckney3030-0.080.58-0.65-0.173-1418.315.72.5416.816.8-0.01
Ike Austin3738-0.531.03-1.560.02-1921-4016.916.30.6416.916.70.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.31,0.29,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.09,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.05,0.46,0.54,0.36,0.43,0.74,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 104, PHI 1060.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.32,0.59,191.8%
CHI 120, TOR 1220.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.19,0.27,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.22,0.33,0.09,0.46,0.39,0.29,0.57,0.82,189.2%
POR 113, HOU 1180.5,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.31,0.39,0.24,0.85,188.6%