inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 120 Excitement8.5 [204] MVPCory Joseph (TOR): +18.1%
Toronto Raptors 122 Comeback143.9 [24] LVPDenzel Valentine (CHI): -25.1%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jimmy Butler0.160,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.32,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.160.22-0.020.042166%0.1600.001486%0.03
Bobby Portis0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.03-0.03850%0.0800.002100%0.01
Robin Lopez0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.010.00867%0.101-0.032100%0.01
Cristiano Felicio0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.01-0.01362%0.041-0.01250%-0.01
Michael Carter-Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00650%0.011-0.012100%0.01
Joffrey Lauvergne-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Rajon Rondo-0.040,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.040.09-0.110.021671%0.024-0.062100%0.01
Paul Zipser-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.050.00967%0.063-0.1000%0.00
Nikola Mirotic-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11-0.05-0.07-0.02940%-0.052-0.0620%-0.03
Denzel Valentine-0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25-0.09-0.17-0.01727%-0.222-0.031100%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.180.180.080.110.011166%0.212-0.03786%0.03
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.000.02567%0.0300.002100%0.01
PJ Tucker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.02-0.02667%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.01475%0.0300.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.06-0.020.021362%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.02-0.01667%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Norman Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.01-0.01939%-0.011-0.02560%-0.01
Delon Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.01,0.02,-0.05-0.050.05-0.070.023848%0.082-0.131164%-0.12
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.060.00-0.0000%0.003-0.0600%0.00
Fred VanVleet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.00-0.070.00375%0.082-0.152100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.63.036.217.433.32.541.22.417.3176.9
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.52.217.9136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +33.6%
TOR +1.2%
TOR +41.7%
CHI -19.1%
CHI -7.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHITORNBACHITORNBA
this game15.614.114.8112.1114.0107.7
season15.115.2105.9110.0
opponent14.914.8106.9105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CHI15.914.416.815.615.015.6
TOR16.815.616.010.112.314.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robin Lopez46460.33-0.831.17-0.0212-142616.514.91.5415.713.02.77
Cristiano Felicio31320.22-0.720.930.133-5815.115.8-0.7214.514.00.51
Michael Carter-Williams2626-0.01-0.490.49-0.093-5814.016.1-2.0914.813.90.88
Paul Zipser7272-0.01-0.490.47-0.134-61016.214.41.8014.114.3-0.26
Nikola Mirotic5050-0.05-0.450.39-0.5818-203815.715.50.1515.113.31.73
Bobby Portis4141-0.06-0.440.390.18-86-1415.415.7-0.2314.713.80.96
Joffrey Lauvergne1616-0.20-0.300.100.09-108-1815.715.60.139.714.9-5.16
Jimmy Butler8786-0.660.16-0.82-0.48-64-1015.714.90.8414.612.42.19
Rajon Rondo8181-0.690.19-0.87-0.48-75-1216.114.02.0913.914.8-0.88
Denzel Valentine7474-0.880.38-1.25-0.38-1715-3214.617.8-3.2412.917.0-4.14

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Fred VanVleet44440.92-0.421.340.4516-143011.316.1-4.8315.315.8-0.44
Patrick Patterson52520.86-0.361.220.5112-102212.415.8-3.3814.516.6-2.03
PJ Tucker71720.84-0.341.180.4015-132813.016.4-3.3514.917.0-2.11
Cory Joseph87880.68-0.180.860.516-41013.716.1-2.4715.913.92.05
DeMar DeRozan85860.66-0.160.830.496-41014.712.12.5215.814.90.90
Jakob Poeltl2627-0.100.60-0.71-0.07-13-414.913.91.0314.016.1-2.16
Delon Wright1110-0.180.68-0.850.03-79-1617.613.73.9013.615.8-2.18
Jonas Valanciunas4745-0.270.77-1.04-0.06-79-1615.413.12.2516.614.81.76
Norman Powell3535-0.280.78-1.06-0.07-79-1613.314.6-1.2715.115.8-0.78
DeMarre Carroll2929-0.300.80-1.100.05-1214-2618.012.75.3416.915.11.81
Serge Ibaka4847-0.340.84-1.17-0.01-1113-2416.012.63.4117.014.52.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.19,0.27,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.22,0.33,0.09,0.46,0.39,0.29,0.57,0.82,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 110, LAL 1130.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.33,0.16,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.83,190.3%
MIN 107, TOR 1130.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.33,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.23,0.32,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.22,0.15,0.54,0.24,0.1,0.43,0.91,190.2%
IND 104, PHI 1060.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.32,0.59,189.4%