NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	83		Excitement	7.4 [337]		MVP	Joe Dumars (DET): +17.6%
Detroit Pistons	86		Comeback	2.4 [637]		LVP	Lindsey Hunter (DET): -25.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.1	0.07	0.05	0.02	13	60%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Larry Stewart	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	8	56%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nate McMillan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Jim McIlvaine	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
David Wingate	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	9	59%	0.03	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01
Sam Perkins	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	10	43%	-0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.05	-0.13	-0.04	16	47%	-0.06	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Terry Cummings	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	9	48%	0.00	2	-0.15	3	67%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.10	0.01	13	70%	0.27	2	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.17	-0.02	0.02	17	71%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.01	2	87%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	8	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Otis Thorpe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	43%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	9	44%	-0.03	2	-0.10	7	71%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.19	-0.08	-0.01	14	19%	-0.23	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.0	25.2	16.7	24.3	2.3	37.5	132.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +10.6%

DET +20.9%

SEA -1.5%

DET +14.5%

DET +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DET	NBA	SEA	DET	NBA
this game	16.2	18.3	15.6	98.8	103.6	104.4
season	14.9	17.1		108.9	107.6
opponent	16.2	16.2		102.0	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.4	18.4	15.0	16.0	16.2
DET	19.6	17.6	19.2	16.8	18.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Stewart	36	35	0.41	-0.91	1.32	0.09	11	-14	25	16.7	15.8	0.89	19.2	17.6	1.57
Jim McIlvaine	17	17	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.12	12	-15	27	15.6	16.4	-0.78	22.4	17.2	5.11
Shawn Kemp	56	54	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.15	4	-7	11	15.4	17.9	-2.52	18.2	18.4	-0.19
Nate McMillan	42	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	0	-3	15.3	17.1	-1.76	18.2	18.4	-0.13
David Wingate	29	31	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	3	-9	19.1	14.7	4.36	18.4	18.2	0.21
Terry Cummings	38	38	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.21	-8	5	-13	17.8	14.9	2.97	18.1	18.4	-0.34
Gary Payton	80	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-3	3	15.9	21.5	-5.55	18.2	20.7	-2.59
Hersey Hawkins	69	66	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.47	-7	4	-11	15.5	19.6	-4.12	17.8	20.1	-2.30
Sam Perkins	53	51	-0.98	0.48	-1.47	-0.46	-18	15	-33	16.3	16.1	0.19	17.3	19.9	-2.58

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	53	55	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.27	16	-13	29	16.2	22.0	-5.86	16.7	15.3	1.43
Terry Mills	61	62	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.18	19	-16	35	18.1	18.9	-0.84	17.2	13.5	3.68
Joe Dumars	75	76	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.43	0	3	-3	18.5	16.7	1.70	15.5	23.1	-7.64
Lindsey Hunter	58	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.20	6	-3	9	18.4	18.1	0.30	16.0	16.8	-0.78
Grant Hill	63	62	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.55	-8	11	-19	19.4	14.9	4.47	16.5	15.4	1.09
Michael Curry	11	11	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	4	-5	12.9	19.1	-6.20	14.7	16.4	-1.71
Otis Thorpe	62	62	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.29	-8	11	-19	18.6	17.2	1.41	15.8	17.5	-1.68
Grant Long	8	8	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	2	-1	19.5	18.2	1.34	15.6	16.3	-0.65
Theo Ratliff	24	25	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.07	-10	13	-23	21.1	17.1	3.99	16.7	16.0	0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.3,0.33,0.68,0.86,0.94,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 75, DEN 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.79,0.99,1,1	92.2%
PHI 91, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.77,0.96,1	92.2%
SAC 103, MIN 108	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.41,0.54,0.42,0.69,0.93,0.94,1,1	91.7%