NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	7.3 [362]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): +20.2%
Orlando Magic	99		Comeback	2.2 [419]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -24.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.06	0.01	17	76%	0.26	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	9	43%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.06
Charles Jenkins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.01	12	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Royal Ivey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.06,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	12	59%	0.13	4	-0.13	3	100%	0.01
Lavoy Allen	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	5	60%	-0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Arnett Moultrie	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.24	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.17	-0.11	-0.03	16	24%	-0.20	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.14

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.10	0.02	17	69%	0.30	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	0.00	4	83%	0.24	3	-0.14	4	75%	0.01
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	14	57%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	9	44%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	16	47%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Doron Lamb	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeQuan Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	13	54%	0.00	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	26.0	14.0	22.0	2.4	32.7	123.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +53.8%

ORL +9.6%

ORL +6.7%

PHI -19.4%

PHI -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	15.5	15.5	15.4	98.9	105.3	104.1
season	15.5	15.5		100.5	100.3
opponent	15.3	15.7		107.7	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.8	17.5	16.0	14.9	15.5
ORL	14.5	13.8	18.3	15.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	53	54	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.20	7	-15	22	15.3	15.7	-0.35	17.0	13.5	3.48
Arnett Moultrie	21	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-7	6	15.1	15.6	-0.42	14.5	15.8	-1.31
Dorell Wright	30	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-6	4	16.1	15.2	0.94	13.3	16.6	-3.30
Spencer Hawes	60	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-12	16	14.7	16.8	-2.06	17.0	12.8	4.13
Charles Jenkins	25	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.03	-5	-3	-2	16.6	15.0	1.56	14.7	15.8	-1.12
Lavoy Allen	25	24	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	3	-14	17.8	14.6	3.20	13.0	16.4	-3.36
Royal Ivey	26	26	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	3	-14	15.8	15.3	0.53	12.9	16.5	-3.62
Damien Wilkins	70	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-3	-2	15.1	16.8	-1.72	16.0	13.7	2.36
Jrue Holiday	73	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-2	-4	15.1	16.7	-1.60	15.8	14.1	1.69
Thaddeus Young	77	79	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.28	-10	2	-12	15.4	15.8	-0.40	15.6	15.0	0.59

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Beno Udrih	51	50	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.22	17	-9	26	14.5	16.7	-2.12	16.2	14.6	1.65
Tobias Harris	74	72	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.32	11	-3	14	15.5	15.5	-0.06	15.3	15.9	-0.62
Jameer Nelson	76	75	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	1	6	15.9	13.7	2.20	15.2	16.7	-1.52
Arron Afflalo	68	66	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.22	5	3	2	16.0	14.1	1.97	15.0	16.6	-1.60
Nikola Vucevic	82	80	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	9	-10	15.9	12.7	3.25	15.5	15.4	0.06
DeQuan Jones	15	14	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.07	9	-1	10	12.5	16.1	-3.61	15.5	15.5	0.04
E'Twaun Moore	20	21	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	5	-2	14.0	15.9	-1.84	17.0	15.0	1.92
Al Harrington	32	32	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.11	6	2	4	14.5	16.0	-1.56	15.7	15.3	0.43
Doron Lamb	4	5	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	6	-4	14.0	15.6	-1.57	18.8	15.3	3.52
Maurice Harkless	48	45	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	0.13	-19	27	-46	16.8	14.2	2.60	14.7	16.2	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.77,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 75, DEN 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.79,0.99,1,1	92.5%
DET 100, ORL 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.75,0.71,0.9,0.92,1	92.4%
DAL 71, TOR 77	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.61,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.74,1	92.4%