NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	100		Excitement	7.5 [328]		MVP	Terry Porter (MIN): +11.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Comeback	152.8 [13]		LVP	Derrick Coleman (PHI): -30.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.03	12	58%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	2	62%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Michael Cage	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Bradtke	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.14,0	0.06	-0.05	0.02	23	62%	0.08	3	-0.08	9	89%	0.06
Doug Overton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Scott Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	14	52%	0.03	4	-0.15	5	80%	-0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.30	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.3	-0.15	-0.19	-0.03	19	45%	0.00	6	-0.30	6	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.00	4	112%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug West	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	7	72%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	83%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	60%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	11	46%	-0.04	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	16	47%	-0.04	2	-0.06	19	74%	-0.08
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.06	-0.03	9	11%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.11	0.02	9	50%	-0.11	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.6	29.0	15.7	27.6	1.7	42.5	143.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -13.8%

MIN +21.1%

MIN +10.5%

MIN +38.3%

PHI -6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIN	NBA	PHI	MIN	NBA
this game	16.0	14.4	15.6	106.4	109.5	104.4
season	14.7	15.5		101.4	103.3
opponent	15.5	14.7		105.3	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.7	20.4	15.3	14.4	16.0
MIN	17.4	13.2	14.1	13.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Cage	42	45	0.30	-0.80	1.11	-0.02	11	-15	26	17.1	15.2	1.90	14.1	14.7	-0.63
Lucious Harris	21	21	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.10	12	-16	28	19.1	15.2	3.99	13.5	14.7	-1.24
Mark Bradtke	5	5	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.07	1	-5	6	21.4	15.7	5.66	17.6	14.3	3.33
Scott Williams	29	27	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.06	-1	-3	2	15.8	16.1	-0.31	16.7	13.5	3.16
Doug Overton	23	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.32	3	-7	10	15.7	16.1	-0.40	12.3	15.1	-2.82
Allen Iverson	71	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	3	-10	16.1	15.7	0.40	15.1	12.3	2.82
Jerry Stackhouse	89	90	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.37	-6	2	-8	15.6	24.4	-8.83	14.4	15.0	-0.59
Clar. Weatherspoon	67	68	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.34	-8	4	-12	15.2	18.2	-3.06	15.2	12.4	2.79
Derrick Coleman	82	83	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.41	-8	4	-12	15.4	20.2	-4.73	14.1	16.9	-2.83
Mark Davis	41	41	-0.93	0.43	-1.35	-0.43	-17	13	-30	16.5	15.7	0.88	12.9	15.6	-2.71

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Robinson	42	40	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.57	6	-2	8	13.2	15.4	-2.20	16.3	15.8	0.54
Kevin Garnett	83	81	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.42	10	-6	16	14.3	15.4	-1.12	15.6	19.1	-3.52
Stephon Marbury	72	71	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.47	4	0	4	14.7	13.6	1.16	15.2	18.7	-3.51
Tom Gugliotta	77	77	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	0	4	14.3	15.1	-0.83	15.5	18.6	-3.18
Chris Carr	34	33	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.03	12	-8	20	15.0	14.1	0.91	15.2	16.5	-1.23
Doug West	42	43	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	5	-6	14.5	14.4	0.06	14.9	17.0	-2.09
Terry Porter	23	23	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.08	0	4	-4	13.6	14.7	-1.16	18.7	15.2	3.51
Cherokee Parks	19	20	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	6	-8	13.5	14.7	-1.21	20.2	14.9	5.34
Sam Mitchell	30	30	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.04	-6	10	-16	15.2	14.1	1.16	18.8	14.7	4.10
Dean Garrett	53	52	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.05	-7	11	-18	15.4	13.3	2.07	15.6	16.5	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.33,0.09,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 102, CHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.15,1	91.4%
POR 104, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.25,0.16,0.29,0.15,1	90.9%
MIL 96, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.18,1	90.8%