NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	99		Excitement	7.3 [359]		MVP	Jeff Hornacek (UTA): +19.1%
Atlanta Hawks	106		Comeback	2.1 [676]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -19.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.10	0.00	11	69%	0.19	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	7	69%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
John Stockton	0.02	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	13	59%	0.08	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Greg Foster	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	4	70%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Antoine Carr	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	9	39%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	6	57%	0.00	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Karl Malone	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.13,-0.14,-0.19,-0.2	-0.04	-0.16	-0.00	20	51%	-0.03	3	-0.17	7	86%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.00	0.03	14	76%	0.15	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.06
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.01	-0.00	7	87%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.09	0.00	19	56%	0.15	3	-0.08	10	100%	0.06
Henry James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	6	37%	-0.03	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	8	57%	0.03	3	-0.13	14	79%	-0.01
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	4	67%	0.05	5	-0.20	10	80%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.3	26.6	15.6	26.1	1.7	34.5	136.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +4.5%

ATL +41.0%

ATL +19.1%

UTA -10.8%

UTA -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ATL	NBA	UTA	ATL	NBA
this game	14.9	17.1	15.6	110.0	117.8	104.4
season	15.6	16.4		110.8	105.3
opponent	16.0	16.0		100.3	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.9	12.7	17.1	13.5	14.9
ATL	15.9	18.6	18.9	15.3	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Foster	30	31	0.26	-0.76	1.03	0.12	5	-12	17	15.6	14.6	1.03	16.8	17.2	-0.38
Howard Eisley	29	29	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.08	2	-9	11	15.2	14.8	0.39	14.4	18.4	-4.00
Shandon Anderson	20	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.07	-5	-2	-3	14.5	15.0	-0.46	18.0	16.8	1.25
Bryon Russell	63	63	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.16	2	-9	11	14.8	15.3	-0.50	16.8	17.7	-0.83
Antoine Carr	11	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-6	5	14.4	15.0	-0.62	18.7	16.9	1.87
Karl Malone	79	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.20	-6	-1	-5	15.0	14.4	0.62	16.9	18.7	-1.87
Chris Morris	29	30	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.11	-10	3	-13	14.5	15.1	-0.58	16.1	17.6	-1.53
Jeff Hornacek	70	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-5	3	15.0	14.5	0.46	16.8	18.0	-1.25
John Stockton	61	61	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.37	-9	2	-11	14.8	15.2	-0.39	18.4	14.4	4.00
Greg Ostertag	58	56	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.44	-11	4	-15	14.9	14.9	0.01	18.1	15.5	2.55

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	72	72	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.27	15	-8	23	16.1	20.9	-4.82	15.7	11.6	4.13
Tyrone Corbin	63	64	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.40	7	0	7	17.4	16.4	1.03	14.2	16.7	-2.56
Dikembe Mutombo	83	83	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-3	13	17.0	18.1	-1.14	14.9	15.3	-0.41
Christian Laettner	62	63	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.29	5	2	3	16.6	18.1	-1.53	14.9	15.0	-0.13
Steven Smith	85	84	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	8	-9	17.4	12.0	5.39	15.0	14.0	0.98
Henry James	10	9	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	3	1	16.3	17.2	-0.89	16.6	14.7	1.83
Alan Henderson	35	34	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	8	-9	18.1	16.4	1.72	15.1	14.8	0.24
Eldridge Recasner	40	41	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.10	-4	11	-15	17.9	16.4	1.46	14.1	15.6	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.59,0.6,0.39,0.61,0.81,0.85,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 109, DAL 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.81,0.68,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.84,1	93.1%
MIA 90, CHH 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.46,0.3,0.33,0.52,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.73,0.64,0.85,0.98,0.99,1	92.1%
NJN 104, ATL 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.7,0.78,0.66,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.79,0.9,1,1	91.9%