NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	104		Excitement	9.2 [91]		MVP	Tyrone Corbin (ATL): +15.2%
Atlanta Hawks	114		Comeback	3.7 [330]		LVP	Jayson Williams (NJN): -23.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Benoit	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.02	0.10	-0.02	8	50%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	16	54%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Kendall Gill	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.05	0.01	13	50%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	1	60%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Michael Cage	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	23	45%	-0.07	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Gatling	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	12	41%	-0.14	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.11
Sherman Douglas	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	2	0%	-0.07	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04
Sam Cassell	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.24,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	21	49%	-0.04	5	-0.18	7	57%	0.01
Jayson Williams	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23	-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	9	15%	-0.23	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.10	-0.00	13	63%	0.22	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.08	0.03	18	58%	0.14	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.01	5	71%	0.09	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	16	60%	0.04	1	-0.06	11	73%	-0.02
Drew Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.01	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.06	3	-0.09	10	60%	-0.03
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.08	-0.00	14	31%	-0.17	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.3	26.6	15.8	29.0	1.8	37.3	136.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +52.9%

ATL +28.2%

NJN -26.4%

NJN -5.9%

ATL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ATL	NBA	NJN	ATL	NBA
this game	15.6	14.2	15.6	108.3	117.5	102.5
season	15.6	16.1		104.9	105.3
opponent	16.0	15.2		101.5	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.7	16.8	14.4	16.9	15.6
ATL	12.0	15.9	15.0	14.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Cage	19	19	0.37	-0.87	1.25	0.02	12	-22	34	17.2	15.2	1.91	16.7	13.6	3.06
Sherman Douglas	19	20	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.01	7	-17	24	16.2	15.5	0.73	15.0	14.0	0.97
David Benoit	38	38	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.14	1	-11	12	15.6	15.6	0.01	12.2	15.5	-3.36
Chris Gatling	29	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.26	5	-15	20	16.3	15.3	0.93	16.3	13.3	3.00
Lucious Harris	9	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.10	-8	-2	-6	19.1	15.3	3.85	9.2	14.7	-5.42
Kerry Kittles	87	88	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-12	14	15.1	21.1	-6.05	14.5	11.8	2.70
Keith Van Horn	74	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	4	-18	15.2	17.2	-2.02	13.9	15.2	-1.30
Sam Cassell	77	77	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.22	-17	7	-24	15.5	16.2	-0.73	14.0	15.0	-0.97
Kendall Gill	65	66	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.33	-17	7	-24	15.6	15.6	0.02	15.2	12.3	2.89
Jayson Williams	63	66	-0.85	0.35	-1.21	-0.24	-21	11	-32	15.7	15.5	0.17	13.5	15.9	-2.42

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	80	78	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.33	17	-7	24	15.1	10.1	4.98	15.4	16.4	-1.01
Mookie Blaylock	80	79	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.30	15	-5	20	14.9	10.9	3.98	15.6	15.6	0.04
Dikembe Mutombo	69	68	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.34	4	6	-2	13.9	15.0	-1.09	15.5	16.0	-0.48
Tyrone Corbin	72	72	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	4	2	13.2	17.1	-3.90	14.9	17.9	-3.00
Steven Smith	88	87	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	8	-6	14.6	10.7	3.92	15.2	20.0	-4.83
Chucky Brown	28	26	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.15	10	0	10	15.4	13.8	1.59	17.8	14.8	2.99
Drew Barry	30	31	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.11	1	9	-8	11.6	15.4	-3.75	16.2	15.3	0.89
Christian Laettner	38	39	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.16	-5	15	-20	13.8	14.5	-0.76	16.7	14.9	1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.7,0.78,0.66,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.79,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 92, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.87,0.95,1	92.3%
UTA 99, ATL 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.59,0.6,0.39,0.61,0.81,0.85,0.85,1	91.9%
BOS 102, TOR 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.23,0.3,0.24,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.97,0.99,1	91.7%