inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 102 Excitement6.9 [472] MVPChris Bosh (TOR): +23.0%
Toronto Raptors 106 Comeback4.1 [375] LVPSebastian Telfair (BOS): -13.1%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Allen0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.050.080.00564%0.1300.001100%0.01
Gerald Green0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.060.060.003100%0.1200.0000%0.00
Brian Scalabrine0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.040.002125%0.1000.0000%0.00
Paul Pierce0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.050.05-0.00-0.001063%0.213-0.151070%-0.01
Al Jefferson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.020.001148%0.071-0.04786%0.02
Kendrick Perkins0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Delonte West-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.010.01-0.03-0.00970%0.124-0.132100%0.01
Rajon Rondo-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Ryan Gomes-0.030,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.04-0.050.031062%0.032-0.076100%0.04
Wally Szczerbiak-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07-0.00-0.07-0.001055%-0.022-0.042100%0.01
Sebastian Telfair-0.130,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.040.00839%-0.043-0.09250%-0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.060.17-0.001564%0.324-0.09978%0.04
Jorge Garbajosa0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.070.100.011067%0.211-0.054100%0.06
Joey Graham0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.040.01480%0.1000.002100%0.01
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.030.00567%0.121-0.052100%0.01
Anthony Parker0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.070.070.09-0.010.011171%0.131-0.05250%-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.020.00667%0.0600.0000%0.00
T.J. Ford0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.03-0.02950%0.062-0.042100%0.01
Andrea Bargnani0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.03-0.001342%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Fred Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00330%-0.0300.00475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.629.215.824.81.839.4138.8
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +24.2%
TOR +3.2%
BOS -1.3%
TOR +23.9%
TOR +0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSTORNBABOSTORNBA
this game15.615.715.4112.1114.0104.5
season15.515.2101.7104.7
opponent15.415.3104.1105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS13.717.515.515.815.6
TOR16.814.617.214.215.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gerald Green24250.44-0.941.390.218-122012.716.6-3.8616.315.50.78
Tony Allen29290.39-0.891.290.139-132214.616.0-1.4316.115.50.52
Kendrick Perkins3236-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-5616.315.21.1117.314.72.65
Rajon Rondo56-0.01-0.490.480.02-1-3213.815.7-1.9010.516.1-5.57
Ryan Gomes5457-0.07-0.430.36-0.163-71015.715.50.2316.314.81.52
Sebastian Telfair5054-0.16-0.340.19-0.212-6816.015.10.9016.215.01.22
Delonte West4847-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.29-1-3214.916.4-1.5215.516.0-0.49
Brian Scalabrine3432-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.18-84-1215.915.40.4115.216.0-0.80
Al Jefferson5250-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.23-84-1215.715.50.1415.416.1-0.71
Paul Pierce7273-0.890.39-1.28-0.57-117-1816.014.21.8115.317.1-1.83
Wally Szczerbiak5556-1.010.51-1.52-0.60-1410-2416.514.12.4115.016.8-1.78

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Parker71671.01-0.511.530.4619-153414.519.5-5.0217.011.75.33
T.J. Ford70660.97-0.471.450.5016-122814.918.3-3.4516.712.73.96
Rasho Nesterovic35350.70-0.200.910.4110-61615.316.0-0.6816.914.72.19
Chris Bosh79750.58-0.080.660.377-31015.218.5-3.2816.411.84.59
Jorge Garbajosa80770.52-0.020.550.4140415.914.31.6315.516.1-0.56
Joey Graham2021-0.040.54-0.58-0.0404-415.515.8-0.2714.515.9-1.39
Andrea Bargnani4950-0.230.73-0.96-0.08-59-1416.714.71.9914.217.2-3.00
Jose Calderon2627-0.460.96-1.42-0.08-1317-3017.215.12.0012.716.8-4.06
Fred Jones3537-0.561.06-1.62-0.03-1822-4018.614.04.5912.917.4-4.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.23,0.3,0.24,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.97,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 92, SAC 970.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.87,0.95,192.4%
NJN 104, ATL 1140.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.7,0.78,0.66,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.79,0.9,1,191.7%
DEN 114, PHX 1230.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.5,0.62,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.55,0.85,0.93,0.98,191.6%