NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	109		Excitement	7.9 [236]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +28.5%
Dallas Mavericks	112		Comeback	1.8 [1032]		LVP	Corey Brewer (MIN): -23.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Hollins	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	7	78%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
Darko Milicic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	15	63%	0.13	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	9	70%	0.07	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	55%	0.02	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Ryan Gomes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.07	-0.00	11	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2,-0.28,-0.29,-0.29,-0.26,-0.24	-0.04	-0.17	0.02	16	55%	0.05	6	-0.28	12	83%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.29,0.29	0.28	0.07	0.22	0.01	14	58%	0.31	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.11
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.03	0.00	18	67%	0.22	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.03
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.00	9	81%	0.19	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	14	61%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	15	44%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.4	29.4	16.4	26.5	2.7	37.3	141.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +24.0%

DAL +25.6%

MIN -39.8%

DAL +38.5%

DAL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DAL	NBA	MIN	DAL	NBA
this game	13.9	15.7	15.3	110.1	116.7	106.0
season	14.7	15.2		100.1	107.2
opponent	15.5	14.8		104.6	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.0	15.0	13.7	14.9	13.9
DAL	16.4	14.4	17.0	15.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oleksiy Pecherov	15	15	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.04	12	-15	27	10.9	14.4	-3.53	17.7	15.3	2.40
Darko Milicic	30	27	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.15	9	-12	21	12.9	14.3	-1.38	16.7	15.3	1.38
Damien Wilkins	51	52	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-3	3	14.5	13.1	1.38	14.5	17.1	-2.64
Ramon Sessions	27	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	2	-7	15.3	13.3	1.98	13.2	16.7	-3.52
Sasha Pavlovic	22	22	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.06	-10	7	-17	14.4	13.7	0.65	13.4	16.4	-2.98
Corey Brewer	78	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.46	6	-9	15	13.5	15.0	-1.51	16.4	13.4	2.98
Jonny Flynn	72	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.47	2	-5	7	13.3	15.3	-1.98	16.7	13.2	3.52
Kevin Love	67	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	1	-5	14.1	13.4	0.71	15.4	16.5	-1.10
Ryan Gomes	59	57	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.35	-8	5	-13	13.8	14.0	-0.24	16.4	14.7	1.62
Ryan Hollins	74	71	-0.86	0.36	-1.21	-0.36	-17	14	-31	14.4	12.1	2.33	15.6	16.1	-0.50

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodrigue Beaubois	59	59	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.32	12	-9	21	14.8	17.2	-2.37	14.8	12.4	2.41
Caron Butler	68	71	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.48	4	-1	5	15.5	16.2	-0.66	14.3	12.7	1.55
Jason Terry	67	68	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	-5	13	15.2	16.9	-1.75	14.3	12.9	1.44
Dirk Nowitzki	77	80	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	2	-1	16.0	14.6	1.34	13.4	15.6	-2.19
Eduardo Najera	46	47	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.07	15	-12	27	13.9	17.3	-3.41	15.3	12.6	2.70
Shawn Marion	63	67	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	-1	5	15.8	15.5	0.25	13.4	14.8	-1.46
Brendan Haywood	47	49	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.39	-12	15	-27	18.1	13.4	4.61	13.2	14.5	-1.26
DeShawn Stevenson	9	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	9	-15	14.8	15.8	-1.03	11.5	14.1	-2.57
Jose Juan Barea	44	46	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.11	-11	14	-25	17.0	14.6	2.34	12.3	15.2	-2.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.81,0.68,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 99, ATL 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.59,0.6,0.39,0.61,0.81,0.85,0.85,1	93.1%
NOP 72, PHX 74	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.82,0.81,0.71,0.58,0.43,0.6,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.41,0.54,0.68,0.79,0.91,0.84,1	91.6%
POR 83, SAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.73,0.75,0.64,0.78,0.98,1	91.3%