NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	72		Excitement	8.3 [200]		MVP	Brandan Wright (PHX): +22.1%
Phoenix Suns	74		Comeback	1.5 [650]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (NOP): -53.1%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Babbitt	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	0	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Norris Cole	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	13	46%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.02	0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.02	-0.06	0.04	-0.00	16	41%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Quincy Pondexter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Dante Cunningham	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19	-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	13	38%	-0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.53	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.53	-0.17	-0.37	-0.01	16	26%	-0.45	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.10	0.01	10	80%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Earl Barron	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.03	0.01	15	44%	0.07	3	-0.11	9	78%	-0.02
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.07	0.05	13	43%	-0.07	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.31	-0.31	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	11	8%	-0.31	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.36,-0.36,-0.42,-0.42	-0.42	-0.23	-0.20	-0.01	15	16%	-0.27	3	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.4	2.4	29.6	15.6	26.0	1.8	33.2	127.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +11.3%

PHX +2.4%

PHX +47.2%

NOP -18.4%

PHX +7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	PHX	NBA	NOP	PHX	NBA
this game	16.9	15.5	15.1	80.9	83.1	104.2
season	15.8	14.4		106.3	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.2		104.9	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	18.5	15.2	16.8	17.3	16.9
PHX	14.2	13.6	18.3	16.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elliot Williams	18	19	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.03	7	-9	16	16.5	17.0	-0.50	15.9	15.3	0.55
Jeff Withey	6	6	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-4	6	18.8	16.8	2.07	17.3	15.3	2.01
Luke Babbitt	31	32	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-5	8	17.8	16.4	1.44	15.8	15.3	0.55
Omer Asik	35	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	2	-6	16.7	17.0	-0.30	15.5	15.4	0.11
Dante Cunningham	64	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-5	8	16.6	17.6	-1.03	16.5	12.9	3.59
Norris Cole	47	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.40	1	-3	4	17.5	16.2	1.34	15.3	15.6	-0.23
Quincy Pondexter	56	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	7	-16	16.9	16.8	0.08	14.6	16.8	-2.21
Alexis Ajinca	48	49	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.48	0	-2	2	16.8	17.0	-0.23	15.2	15.8	-0.62
Eric Gordon	76	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.43	-5	3	-8	16.4	20.1	-3.72	15.2	17.0	-1.83
Tyreke Evans	64	64	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.45	-8	6	-14	17.0	16.6	0.36	15.3	15.9	-0.64

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	68	69	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.54	11	-9	20	15.1	16.5	-1.33	16.7	17.4	-0.71
Markieff Morris	67	69	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.54	8	-6	14	15.7	14.8	0.85	17.0	16.6	0.39
Brandan Wright	68	69	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.46	4	-2	6	15.9	13.9	2.04	17.2	16.0	1.16
PJ Tucker	67	67	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.37	1	1	0	16.0	14.0	2.00	17.4	15.4	1.98
Marcus Morris	77	76	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.45	-5	7	-12	15.4	15.9	-0.53	16.5	19.0	-2.46
TJ Warren	33	32	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	-3	8	15.4	15.5	-0.11	18.2	16.2	1.96
Gerald Green	22	22	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	1	0	14.0	16.0	-2.00	15.4	17.4	-1.98
Archie Goodwin	29	28	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.10	-7	9	-16	15.1	15.6	-0.58	16.5	17.1	-0.53
Earl Barron	14	13	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.07	-8	10	-18	15.0	15.5	-0.55	15.7	17.1	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.82,0.81,0.71,0.58,0.43,0.6,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.41,0.54,0.68,0.79,0.91,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 83, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.97,1,1	92.2%
DAL 82, GSW 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.52,0.66,0.43,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.78,0.86,0.92,1	91.7%
MEM 92, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.6,0.69,0.85,0.93,0.92,1	91.7%