NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	92		Excitement	7.6 [314]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +24.3%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	1.8 [869]		LVP	Tony Allen (MEM): -17.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08	-0.06	0.09	-0.06	18	45%	0.17	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.05
Marc Gasol	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	8	64%	0.14	3	-0.08	9	78%	0.04
Greivis Vasquez	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05	-0.03	0.07	-0.01	14	53%	0.14	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Zach Randolph	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.05	0.00	18	59%	0.06	2	-0.04	10	70%	-0.05
Hamed Haddadi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	11	36%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.2,0.19,0.24	0.24	0.02	0.21	-0.01	10	61%	0.32	3	-0.08	11	73%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.15	0.10	0.01	11	79%	0.25	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.06
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	8	62%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.02	-0.01	10	59%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	7	50%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	12	32%	-0.06	0	0.00	10	50%	-0.04
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	0	25%	-0.04	1	-0.05	4	25%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.7	29.0	15.7	25.3	2.8	43.4	143.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +27.1%

UTA +1.8%

MEM -13.3%

UTA +32.1%

UTA +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	UTA	NBA	MEM	UTA	NBA
this game	15.2	16.3	15.5	100.0	107.7	105.7
season	15.5	15.9		106.1	106.4
opponent	15.3	15.5		108.2	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.6	16.5	15.1	14.9	15.2
UTA	16.1	17.0	16.9	15.1	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hasheem Thabeet	14	13	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.04	4	-10	14	16.1	15.1	1.08	16.9	16.1	0.78
Darrell Arthur	26	25	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-5	4	14.9	15.4	-0.48	14.5	16.9	-2.44
Hamed Haddadi	9	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-4	2	16.2	15.1	1.10	18.2	16.0	2.19
Greivis Vasquez	20	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-3	0	13.1	15.8	-2.72	16.5	16.2	0.29
Tony Allen	30	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	1	-8	14.2	15.7	-1.48	15.4	16.6	-1.24
Sam Young	62	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-7	8	15.7	14.2	1.48	16.6	15.4	1.24
Mike Conley	72	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-3	0	15.8	13.1	2.72	16.2	16.5	-0.29
O.J. Mayo	92	91	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	15.2	0.0	15.23	16.3	0.0	16.25
Marc Gasol	59	59	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.32	-8	2	-10	15.4	14.9	0.50	16.3	16.2	0.05
Zach Randolph	76	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.43	-5	-1	-4	14.9	16.7	-1.77	16.5	15.3	1.14

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	56	57	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.30	14	-8	22	15.6	17.3	-1.77	15.5	14.8	0.69
Paul Millsap	65	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	5	-4	16.5	15.7	0.84	15.3	15.0	0.33
Al Jefferson	58	57	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.45	-2	8	-10	16.6	15.6	0.97	15.0	15.7	-0.69
Deron Williams	67	67	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.42	-2	8	-10	16.3	16.1	0.23	15.2	15.2	0.04
Raja Bell	61	61	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.41	-2	8	-10	15.8	17.2	-1.46	15.1	15.5	-0.48
Francisco Elson	16	17	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	-3	12	16.3	16.2	0.07	17.2	14.8	2.39
Ronnie Price	30	31	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.09	8	-2	10	17.2	15.8	1.46	15.5	15.1	0.48
Earl Watson	24	25	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.10	8	-2	10	16.1	16.3	-0.23	15.2	15.2	-0.04
Kyrylo Fesenko	33	35	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.12	8	-2	10	15.6	16.6	-0.97	15.7	15.0	0.69
Jeremy Evans	10	11	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.09	-4	10	-14	14.6	16.5	-1.86	11.6	15.7	-4.08
Andrei Kirilenko	35	35	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.03	-8	14	-22	17.3	15.6	1.77	14.8	15.5	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.6,0.69,0.85,0.93,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 88, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.71,0.75,0.84,0.89,1,1	92.3%
BKN 103, MIL 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.57,0.5,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.94,0.99,1	92.2%
DAL 82, GSW 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.52,0.66,0.43,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.78,0.86,0.92,1	92.0%