NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	82		Excitement	8.1 [201]		MVP	Tony Delk (GSW): +19.0%
Golden State Warriors	88		Comeback	2.0 [389]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -27.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.08	-0.00	14	57%	0.21	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eric Riley	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Respert	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	9	39%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	11	54%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Shawn Bradley	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	14	30%	-0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Finley	-0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.17,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28	-0.20	-0.10	-0.02	25	37%	-0.09	5	-0.18	4	50%	-0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,0,-0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.02	0.17	0.00	19	52%	0.23	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Gerald Madkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	1	150%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.04	-0.03	11	27%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Grayer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	12	52%	-0.01	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.04
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13	-0.13	0.00	-0.12	0.01	22	52%	-0.08	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.09
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.13	0.00	5	33%	-0.15	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.6	23.2	15.5	20.4	2.4	29.6	115.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +19.2%

GSW +0.9%

GSW +7.4%

GSW +20.8%

GSW +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	GSW	NBA	DAL	GSW	NBA
this game	15.5	17.4	15.6	93.2	101.1	102.5
season	15.8	15.6		98.3	92.9
opponent	15.0	15.5		102.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.8	18.7	15.5	15.7	15.5
GSW	16.7	15.6	18.8	18.6	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khalid Reeves	54	54	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.09	5	-11	16	14.4	17.4	-3.06	17.0	18.1	-1.08
Erick Strickland	27	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-4	2	16.0	15.3	0.67	16.9	17.6	-0.67
Eric Riley	46	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-4	2	16.6	14.4	2.25	17.6	17.2	0.47
A.C. Green	78	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.36	-2	-4	2	15.1	18.7	-3.57	18.1	11.7	6.43
Shawn Bradley	51	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	1	-8	15.4	15.7	-0.24	16.9	18.1	-1.13
Michael Finley	82	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-2	-2	15.0	23.2	-8.19	17.4	17.8	-0.43
Hubert Davis	65	65	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.24	-9	3	-12	15.7	15.0	0.72	17.4	17.3	0.10
Shawn Respert	37	36	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.28	-9	3	-12	17.5	14.1	3.37	17.2	17.5	-0.38

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Muggsy Bogues	67	68	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.45	7	-1	8	17.0	18.7	-1.70	15.3	16.4	-1.19
Erick Dampier	61	60	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.43	7	-1	8	17.4	17.4	0.01	16.5	13.4	3.14
Clar. Weatherspoon	60	60	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.43	7	-1	8	17.6	17.0	0.62	16.6	13.2	3.40
Jim Jackson	82	83	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.33	3	3	0	17.7	11.6	6.14	15.1	23.4	-8.34
Tony Delk	74	76	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.34	2	4	-2	17.5	16.7	0.82	15.4	16.7	-1.31
Duane Ferrell	11	10	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.03	5	1	4	15.9	17.6	-1.70	15.3	15.6	-0.26
Jeff Grayer	8	7	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	4	-2	13.0	17.8	-4.84	23.4	14.9	8.58
Felton Spencer	25	28	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.11	-1	7	-8	17.9	17.2	0.74	13.4	16.5	-3.14
Gerald Madkins	22	21	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.14	0	6	-6	17.2	17.4	-0.22	15.8	15.4	0.36
Adonal Foyle	25	27	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.08	-2	8	-10	18.1	17.1	1.02	13.6	16.4	-2.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.52,0.66,0.43,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.78,0.86,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.68,0.46,0.62,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.6,0.54,0.9,0.94,0.92,1	92.6%
SEA 92, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.87,0.95,1	92.6%
DAL 121, LAC 125	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.62,0.43,0.48,0.54,0.41,0.4,0.22,0.46,0.63,0.85,1,1	92.2%