NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	83		Excitement	7.2 [358]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +20.9%
Houston Rockets	95		Comeback	1.8 [634]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -30.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Austin Croshere	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	19	51%	0.08	2	-0.06	7	43%	-0.05
Erick Strickland	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	62%	0.07	1	-0.08	8	75%	0.04
Al Harrington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	17	56%	0.01	3	-0.08	14	79%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.31,-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.00	10	20%	-0.19	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.13	-0.00	15	72%	0.32	3	-0.11	10	90%	0.04
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.23,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.12	0.18	-0.02	15	39%	0.15	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Juaquin Hawkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terence Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	13	39%	-0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	8	39%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.11	-0.16	-0.00	14	56%	0.03	7	-0.30	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	3.3	29.1	16.8	29.3	2.6	44.0	152.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +37.1%

HOU +5.8%

HOU +32.7%

IND -28.9%

HOU +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	HOU	NBA	IND	HOU	NBA
this game	14.7	16.6	15.5	90.2	103.3	101.6
season	15.4	16.3		102.2	101.7
opponent	15.4	15.5		100.4	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.6	17.1	13.6	16.3	14.7
HOU	15.6	20.8	15.2	15.7	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	8	7	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.06	2	-14	16	18.5	14.3	4.15	19.6	16.4	3.22
Erick Strickland	4	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-8	4	8.2	15.0	-6.75	1.3	17.1	-15.78
Austin Croshere	19	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.20	-9	-3	-6	13.0	15.2	-2.15	16.9	16.5	0.44
Al Harrington	19	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-9	6	14.9	14.6	0.30	18.2	16.2	1.95
Ron Mercer	20	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-9	6	15.2	14.6	0.69	20.3	15.6	4.62
Reggie Miller	79	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-7	2	14.8	14.3	0.46	16.2	19.2	-2.95
Jamaal Tinsley	84	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	-2	-8	14.5	17.4	-2.92	16.6	16.6	0.05
Brad Miller	73	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	-1	-10	14.2	16.5	-2.23	16.6	16.6	0.01
Metta World Peace	75	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.14	-12	0	-12	14.8	14.2	0.58	15.7	20.8	-5.10
Jermaine O'Neal	79	80	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.49	-5	-7	2	15.4	10.5	4.85	16.8	15.1	1.74

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	69	67	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.22	18	-6	24	15.7	19.2	-3.43	13.9	16.8	-2.93
Yao Ming	75	75	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	2	8	15.5	21.3	-5.76	14.7	14.8	-0.07
Steve Francis	84	84	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	2	8	16.6	16.1	0.52	14.5	17.4	-2.92
Cuttino Mobley	85	84	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	3	6	16.0	24.0	-8.01	14.5	16.5	-1.96
Maurice Taylor	37	38	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	4	4	17.1	16.3	0.76	15.3	14.3	0.95
Moochie Norris	15	16	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	7	-2	19.8	16.0	3.83	16.9	14.2	2.70
Kelvin Cato	17	17	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	10	-8	21.3	15.5	5.76	14.8	14.7	0.07
Juaquin Hawkins	2	2	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	12	-12	28.0	16.3	11.66	9.0	14.8	-5.83
Eddie Griffin	45	44	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	15	-18	15.0	18.1	-3.08	13.6	15.7	-2.05
Terence Morris	31	33	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.08	1	11	-10	19.5	15.1	4.40	17.5	13.2	4.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 96, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.72,0.94,0.98,1	93.6%
BOS 96, IND 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.79,0.85,0.96,1	92.4%
CLE 95, BKN 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.83,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.47,0.52,0.68,0.59,0.41,0.4,0.68,0.85,0.99,1,1	92.2%