NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Excitement	7.6 [341]		MVP	Markel Brown (BKN): +23.4%
Brooklyn Nets	104		Comeback	2.4 [215]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -24.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.01	0.01	16	83%	0.30	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.12	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Jordan McRae	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.03	-0.05	10	40%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.06	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	14	37%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Kyrie Irving	-0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.11	-0.15	-0.02	22	30%	-0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markel Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.08	0.15	-0.00	4	90%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	0.00	8	62%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	10	73%	0.14	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.03	0.03	15	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sergey Karasev	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	11	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Chris McCullough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	6	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	13	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Henry Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	5	31%	-0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	30.6	15.3	23.3	1.6	26.2	121.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +27.2%

CLE -0.9%

CLE -5.4%

BKN +30.8%

CLE -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BKN	NBA	CLE	BKN	NBA
this game	15.1	15.4	14.9	101.1	109.5	105.1
season	15.8	15.0		110.3	101.9
opponent	14.8	14.9		109.3	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.2	14.7	14.8	18.1	15.1
BKN	16.1	12.5	18.0	15.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timofey Mozgov	39	40	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-13	17	14.8	15.3	-0.50	16.3	14.7	1.57
Channing Frye	32	31	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-11	13	13.8	15.8	-1.98	15.0	15.6	-0.63
Jordan McRae	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-12	15	13.0	15.1	-2.11	9.0	15.5	-6.46
Matthew Dellavedova	32	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-8	7	14.8	15.2	-0.41	15.7	15.2	0.45
Iman Shumpert	33	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-1	-7	16.7	14.2	2.53	14.5	15.9	-1.39
Kyrie Irving	69	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-6	3	15.2	14.8	0.44	15.5	15.1	0.35
J.R. Smith	61	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-8	7	14.2	16.7	-2.53	15.9	14.5	1.39
Richard Jefferson	22	22	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	0	-9	16.9	14.5	2.32	13.6	15.9	-2.28
LeBron James	67	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.17	-8	-1	-7	14.4	16.9	-2.53	16.0	13.9	2.04
Kevin Love	64	64	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.30	-8	-1	-7	15.4	14.5	0.86	15.5	15.1	0.39
Tristan Thompson	50	51	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.19	-16	7	-23	16.0	14.0	2.04	14.6	16.3	-1.77

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bojan Bogdanovic	52	52	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.36	7	2	5	15.9	14.8	1.09	14.0	16.4	-2.39
Donald Sloan	34	35	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-4	17	13.4	16.5	-3.13	17.6	13.6	4.01
Brook Lopez	61	61	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.32	8	1	7	15.9	14.6	1.29	14.3	16.6	-2.34
Markel Brown	26	26	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	-2	13	13.9	15.9	-2.02	17.0	14.4	2.59
Thaddeus Young	59	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	6	-3	16.2	14.1	2.06	15.0	15.2	-0.13
Chris McCullough	36	36	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	3	3	14.1	16.2	-2.06	15.2	15.0	0.13
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	31	31	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	5	-1	15.0	15.6	-0.58	16.4	14.4	1.99
Henry Sims	34	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	8	-7	14.6	15.9	-1.29	16.6	14.3	2.34
Shane Larkin	61	59	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	13	-17	16.5	13.4	3.13	13.6	17.6	-4.01
Sean Kilpatrick	43	42	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.13	2	7	-5	14.8	15.9	-1.09	16.4	14.0	2.39
Sergey Karasev	38	37	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.09	-6	15	-21	16.7	14.5	2.20	12.6	16.7	-4.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.83,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.47,0.52,0.68,0.59,0.41,0.4,0.68,0.85,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 83, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.97,1,1	92.2%
MIL 111, CHH 117	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	91.8%
OKC 112, CHA 123	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.85,0.99,1,1	91.3%