NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	91		Excitement	6.0 [587]		MVP	Joe Dumars (DET): +21.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	85		Comeback	1.8 [902]		LVP	Loy Vaught (LAC): -13.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Dumars	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.12	0.01	14	72%	0.29	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.01	5	92%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Grant Long	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	2	83%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Mills	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	30%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Otis Thorpe	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	9	60%	0.01	2	-0.06	7	43%	-0.07
Grant Hill	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	14	56%	0.03	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	10	30%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	3	75%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	11	41%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.07	0.00	13	53%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Darrick Martin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	13	39%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	4	75%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.10	-0.03	23	47%	-0.06	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	1.0	27.1	13.8	30.1	1.7	34.2	136.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +72.4%

LAC -1.9%

LAC -8.1%

LAC -14.7%

DET +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAC	NBA	DET	LAC	NBA
this game	16.9	16.2	15.6	104.6	97.7	104.4
season	17.1	15.8		107.6	102.9
opponent	15.1	16.2		105.8	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	19.1	19.8	13.9	15.5	16.9
LAC	13.6	17.1	16.7	17.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Dumars	64	63	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.16	14	-8	22	17.0	16.7	0.36	16.7	14.8	1.92
Grant Hill	76	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-5	16	16.5	19.5	-3.01	16.9	11.7	5.14
Grant Long	29	30	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.17	8	-2	10	18.9	15.9	2.97	17.5	15.5	1.96
Terry Mills	41	41	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.22	6	0	6	17.6	16.3	1.35	15.9	16.4	-0.53
Aaron McKie	33	35	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	8	-10	16.4	17.2	-0.80	15.5	16.7	-1.17
Otis Thorpe	63	61	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	0	6	17.1	16.3	0.81	16.7	15.0	1.63
Lindsey Hunter	60	59	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	8	-10	15.6	19.8	-4.14	14.9	18.9	-4.05
Theo Ratliff	36	37	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	10	-14	16.1	17.5	-1.33	16.1	16.2	-0.08
Michael Curry	33	34	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.13	-7	13	-20	18.2	16.1	2.13	15.0	16.9	-1.94

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	32	32	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.02	3	-9	12	16.1	16.3	-0.19	16.8	17.0	-0.12
Malik Sealy	60	59	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-7	8	15.4	18.0	-2.63	17.1	16.5	0.67
Bo Outlaw	59	58	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-7	8	16.1	16.3	-0.15	17.1	16.6	0.45
Lamond Murray	10	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-5	4	18.4	15.9	2.50	18.3	16.8	1.58
Darrick Martin	64	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-2	-2	15.3	18.7	-3.47	16.4	18.4	-1.93
Loy Vaught	86	86	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	16.4	0.0	16.37	17.0	6.0	11.05
Eric Piatkowski	34	36	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.35	-7	1	-8	17.1	15.6	1.58	16.8	17.0	-0.15
Brent Barry	35	35	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.33	-8	2	-10	17.3	15.4	1.89	16.6	17.1	-0.49
Rodney Rogers	55	55	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.30	-9	3	-12	16.3	16.1	0.19	17.0	16.8	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 85, HOU 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.02,0	94.5%
IND 106, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.04,0	93.5%
NYK 77, ATL 70	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.02,0	93.5%