inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 106 Excitement7.3 [335] MVPJermaine O'Neal (IND): +31.7%
Miami Heat 103 Comeback2.0 [212] LVPMike Dunleavy (IND): -19.6%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal0.320,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.320.190.160.041277%0.3200.00786%0.01
Kareem Rush0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.120.110.020.01887%0.151-0.0300%0.00
Danny Granger0.080,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.080.010.07-0.00970%0.225-0.14580%0.01
Troy Murphy0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.03-0.00736%0.0100.0000%0.00
David Harrison-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.01445%0.021-0.04333%-0.02
Jeff Foster-0.020,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01440%-0.011-0.012100%0.01
Marquis Daniels-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.03-0.02537%-0.011-0.04667%-0.03
Jamaal Tinsley-0.070,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07-0.090.00-0.022744%0.085-0.15560%-0.02
Mike Dunleavy-0.200,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2-0.15-0.05-0.01927%-0.104-0.10450%-0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Udonis Haslem0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.140.040.021473%0.181-0.02580%-0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.012100%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.02-0.00643%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Jason Williams0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01467%0.022-0.041100%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.00755%0.042-0.06850%-0.04
Daequan Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.001444%-0.011-0.02475%-0.02
Chris Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Mark Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.0030%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1-0.100.00-0.080.031054%-0.012-0.104100%0.03
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13-0.13-0.06-0.070.011459%0.108-0.241392%0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.22.534.216.829.82.746.2160.2
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +51.0%
MIA -8.8%
IND +6.5%
IND +6.5%
MIA -5.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDMIANBAINDMIANBA
this game14.114.115.4103.9101.0105.7
season13.816.0104.599.0
opponent15.415.2108.3105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND16.413.013.213.914.1
MIA11.914.716.213.814.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Troy Murphy67660.77-0.271.040.2418-153314.214.00.1614.613.31.23
Jamaal Tinsley82810.50-0.000.510.4230313.516.5-2.9814.213.70.58
Mike Dunleavy64650.490.010.470.4030314.613.21.3913.415.4-2.01
Jermaine O'Neal62620.440.060.380.4112-114.713.21.4514.014.3-0.37
Danny Granger82800.430.070.370.4112-113.616.0-2.3514.911.43.52
Kareem Rush39390.080.42-0.350.0221114.613.80.7813.214.7-1.53
Marquis Daniels40420.000.50-0.500.06-25-714.613.80.8114.214.10.11
Jeff Foster4446-0.090.59-0.680.20-1013-2313.614.5-0.8713.214.9-1.66
David Harrison3029-0.120.62-0.74-0.09-14-514.014.2-0.1515.313.71.60

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dorell Wright31300.10-0.600.69-0.086-91514.414.00.4213.914.2-0.29
Mark Blount1413-0.02-0.480.470.01-1-2112.314.4-2.1316.413.82.61
Shaquille O'Neal5757-0.12-0.380.26-0.182-5714.014.3-0.2514.214.00.23
Jason Williams5353-0.23-0.270.05-0.05-63-914.713.61.1113.514.7-1.17
Chris Quinn2222-0.25-0.250.000.01-96-1515.013.91.0516.013.62.47
Dwyane Wade8384-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.436-91513.715.8-2.0414.313.30.94
Daequan Cook4242-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.382-5712.915.0-2.0413.714.4-0.75
Udonis Haslem8687-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.330-3314.312.91.4113.616.8-3.16
Alonzo Mourning4443-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.28-74-1114.014.2-0.2214.513.80.70
Ricky Davis7879-0.580.08-0.65-0.34-85-1314.712.22.4613.914.7-0.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 77, ATL 700.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.02,094.6%
DET 91, LAC 850.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.04,0,093.5%
CHI 101, WAS 920.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.63,0.69,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,093.4%