NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	101		Excitement	6.4 [578]		MVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): +17.4%
Washington Wizards	92		Comeback	2.2 [288]		LVP	Trevor Ariza (WAS): -11.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.16	0.05	0.05	12	75%	0.20	1	-0.03	8	87%	-0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	10	81%	0.16	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	-0.00	7	71%	0.14	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	6	59%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Chandler Hutchison	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	83%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Dunn	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	12	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Blakeney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	15	40%	0.02	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.12,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.04	0.05	27	58%	0.21	3	-0.10	5	80%	-0.01
Chasson Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.03	8	57%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	10	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	11	41%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ron Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	11	42%	-0.01	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	29.1	14.7	23.3	1.8	33.0	125.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +41.7%

CHI +1.5%

WAS -7.7%

CHI +13.4%

CHI +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	15.7	14.9	14.3	106.3	98.9	109.3
season	14.6	13.8		104.2	109.8
opponent	14.3	14.3		112.4	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.6	14.6	14.9	16.9	15.7
WAS	14.1	14.8	15.1	15.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach LaVine	56	56	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-5	19	14.9	16.8	-1.82	16.4	12.7	3.66
Robin Lopez	29	28	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	-2	13	15.6	15.7	-0.16	16.3	14.3	1.98
Chandler Hutchison	29	28	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.18	7	2	5	16.6	15.3	1.33	14.0	15.3	-1.29
Justin Holiday	75	72	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	6	-3	16.0	14.6	1.32	14.9	15.2	-0.33
Lauri Markkanen	57	57	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.00	9	0	9	15.2	16.4	-1.25	15.6	13.9	1.71
Ryan Arcidiacono	47	45	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.23	0	9	-9	15.9	15.5	0.39	13.9	15.9	-1.98
Shaquille Harrison	45	44	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	8	-7	15.7	15.7	-0.05	14.7	15.2	-0.52
Kris Dunn	64	63	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	8	-7	15.8	15.5	0.31	14.5	15.8	-1.23
Wendell Carter Jr.	66	65	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	11	-13	15.7	15.6	0.16	14.3	16.3	-1.98
Antonio Blakeney	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	8	-7	16.9	15.6	1.25	14.1	15.0	-0.86

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chasson Randle	30	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-7	5	13.2	15.8	-2.61	15.8	15.7	0.12
Ron Baker	27	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	-1	-7	15.0	14.9	0.04	14.0	16.3	-2.28
Jeff Green	62	64	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.23	1	-10	11	15.1	14.6	0.48	16.3	14.5	1.75
Thomas Bryant	57	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.14	-3	-6	3	15.6	13.9	1.75	15.1	16.6	-1.56
Trevor Ariza	75	78	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-8	7	14.5	16.6	-2.01	16.0	14.2	1.85
Ian Mahinmi	36	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-3	-3	13.9	15.6	-1.75	16.6	15.1	1.56
Sam Dekker	31	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	1	-11	14.6	15.1	-0.48	14.5	16.3	-1.75
Bradley Beal	73	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-4	-1	15.2	14.0	1.19	16.0	14.5	1.51
Tomas Satoransky	74	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.22	-11	2	-13	15.8	11.6	4.15	15.6	16.1	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.63,0.69,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 106, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.04,0	93.4%
MIN 105, GSW 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.14,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.0%
IND 103, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.0%