NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	85		Excitement	7.0 [420]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): +11.5%
Houston Rockets	82		Comeback	1.8 [307]		LVP	Eddie Griffin (HOU): -16.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	20	62%	0.20	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.04
Brendan Haywood	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	3	71%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	62%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Hubert Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Courtney Alexander	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	11	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Jordan	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.13	0.05	-0.03	23	39%	0.10	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	60%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Oscar Torres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	43%	-0.02	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.06
Moochie Norris	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	13	38%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	22	52%	0.05	6	-0.17	4	100%	0.02
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.09,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	13	38%	-0.15	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.09
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	7	14%	-0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	25.3	15.7	25.0	1.8	37.0	128.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +61.2%

HOU -14.1%

HOU -0.7%

HOU -2.6%

WAS +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	HOU	NBA	WAS	HOU	NBA
this game	16.4	17.5	15.6	100.0	96.5	102.3
season	16.5	16.8		102.2	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.3		106.4	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.6	17.7	14.7	16.8	16.4
HOU	18.6	16.6	17.3	17.5	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	59	58	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	-1	5	16.2	16.8	-0.57	17.2	18.0	-0.72
Popeye Jones	49	51	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	1	1	16.6	16.2	0.38	16.6	18.8	-2.25
Tyronn Lue	46	46	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	2	-1	16.5	16.3	0.24	17.7	17.2	0.54
Brendan Haywood	52	51	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.42	1	2	-1	16.7	16.0	0.62	17.6	17.3	0.25
Richard Hamilton	68	68	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.36	3	0	3	16.1	17.6	-1.54	17.7	16.4	1.40
Hubert Davis	31	31	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	5	-7	15.9	16.7	-0.75	17.1	17.7	-0.59
Chris Whitney	39	40	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	0	3	16.3	16.5	-0.24	16.9	18.0	-1.13
Jahidi White	32	32	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.03	2	1	1	16.5	16.4	0.14	18.1	17.1	0.95
Kwame Brown	8	7	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	3	-3	15.9	16.5	-0.59	15.7	17.6	-1.91
Christian Laettner	28	27	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	2	-1	16.3	16.5	-0.19	19.6	16.5	3.16
Courtney Alexander	13	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	3	-3	18.8	16.0	2.78	17.1	17.5	-0.48

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	36	35	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-4	5	17.7	17.3	0.39	16.0	16.7	-0.75
Tierre Brown	20	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.12	-1	-2	1	17.9	17.3	0.56	17.8	15.9	1.90
Kevin Willis	28	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	0	-3	17.7	17.3	0.42	17.7	15.8	1.89
Eddie Griffin	20	21	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	2	-7	18.8	17.1	1.74	16.5	16.4	0.09
Kelvin Cato	55	55	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.25	0	-3	3	17.8	16.9	0.83	16.0	17.1	-1.06
Kenny Thomas	65	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.32	2	-5	7	17.1	18.8	-1.74	16.4	16.5	-0.09
Walt Williams	22	22	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-3	3	15.1	18.3	-3.21	15.5	16.7	-1.29
Oscar Torres	37	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	3	-9	17.8	17.2	0.60	17.4	15.7	1.74
Moochie Norris	65	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-1	-1	17.3	17.9	-0.56	15.7	18.5	-2.74
Cuttino Mobley	77	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.42	-1	-2	1	17.6	16.5	1.07	16.4	16.7	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 91, LAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.04,0,0	94.5%
SEA 109, ORL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.02,0	93.9%
LAC 104, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.27,0.14,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.16,0.09,0,0	93.9%