NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	104		Excitement	6.7 [467]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +29.1%
Detroit Pistons	98		Comeback	2.4 [759]		LVP	Greg Monroe (DET): -12.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29	0.15	0.12	-0.02	12	88%	0.35	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.08	0.04	16	66%	0.17	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Glen Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	5	33%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	8	56%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	6	62%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Blake Griffin	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	0.01	0.03	17	41%	-0.05	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	-0.02	-0.04	14	61%	0.18	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	117%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	7	71%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	11	65%	0.10	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	11	55%	0.07	2	-0.05	9	56%	-0.04
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	17	47%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.6	30.2	15.8	23.1	2.3	34.7	133.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +20.7%

LAC +7.5%

LAC +3.8%

LAC +11.1%

LAC +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DET	NBA	LAC	DET	NBA
this game	14.5	16.8	15.1	113.0	106.5	104.2
season	14.6	15.7		110.5	104.0
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.0	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.6	12.5	18.1	14.6	14.5
DET	17.7	15.8	19.8	14.8	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	64	64	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.36	7	-1	8	13.7	16.2	-2.52	16.0	18.7	-2.75
Spencer Hawes	36	36	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.31	8	-2	10	13.7	15.0	-1.28	16.0	17.3	-1.28
Hedo Turkoglu	39	40	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.39	-1	7	-8	15.9	13.4	2.51	16.3	17.2	-0.80
Chris Paul	70	69	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	-3	12	14.3	15.2	-0.96	17.2	15.7	1.48
Glen Davis	24	22	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	5	-4	14.2	14.6	-0.34	16.5	16.9	-0.34
Jordan Farmar	22	23	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.24	-3	9	-12	15.2	14.3	0.96	15.7	17.2	-1.48
Blake Griffin	63	64	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	2	2	14.3	15.0	-0.68	17.0	16.4	0.64
DeAndre Jordan	59	60	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	5	-4	15.4	12.9	2.48	17.7	15.2	2.53
JJ Redick	51	51	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	6	-6	13.9	15.2	-1.25	16.6	17.0	-0.35
Reggie Bullock	32	31	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.09	4	2	2	15.0	14.2	0.77	18.4	16.0	2.34

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Singler	15	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-9	12	14.9	17.2	-2.24	13.9	14.6	-0.76
Cartier Martin	16	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-3	0	16.5	16.9	-0.37	12.3	15.0	-2.65
D.J. Augustin	68	67	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-6	6	17.1	15.8	1.31	14.1	15.7	-1.62
Josh Smith	69	67	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-6	6	16.9	16.7	0.20	14.9	13.5	1.35
Andre Drummond	72	71	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-4	2	17.1	15.8	1.22	14.5	14.6	-0.09
Jonas Jerebko	22	23	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-3	0	16.3	17.0	-0.70	13.6	14.8	-1.19
Caron Butler	35	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-1	-4	16.9	16.8	0.09	14.6	14.4	0.22
Greg Monroe	50	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	3	-12	18.1	15.3	2.79	15.4	13.4	2.05
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	77	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-2	-2	17.1	15.1	2.00	15.2	11.3	3.86
Spencer Dinwiddie	36	37	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.33	-7	1	-8	14.2	18.4	-4.20	13.6	15.1	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.27,0.14,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.16,0.09,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 85, HOU 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.02,0	93.9%
UTA 101, BKN 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.17,0.05,0.13,0.04,0.11,0.01,0,0	92.6%
IND 89, PHX 82	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.63,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.04,0.11,0.02,0.04,0	92.6%