NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	102		Excitement	6.9 [428]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +23.4%
Vancouver Grizzlies	96		Comeback	1.4 [746]		LVP	Greg Anthony (VAN): -17.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.11	-0.02	14	72%	0.26	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	10	55%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	19	60%	0.05	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Joe Kleine	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	4	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jim Jackson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	16	41%	-0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.03	0.02	15	55%	-0.04	6	-0.12	10	80%	-0.04

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.00	6	83%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Leckner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	21	48%	0.04	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	9	47%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.01	21	50%	-0.02	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	0.01	9	37%	-0.10	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
Greg Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.09	0.02	14	40%	-0.09	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	26.2	15.4	22.5	2.6	37.1	128.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +39.5%

VAN -6.3%

NJN +25.8%

VAN -10.8%

NJN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	VAN	NBA	NJN	VAN	NBA
this game	14.9	17.1	15.6	114.6	105.5	104.4
season	15.4	16.3		101.7	97.9
opponent	15.5	14.9		109.2	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	12.5	15.6	16.2	15.5	14.9
VAN	16.3	16.4	18.9	17.2	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier McDaniel	52	54	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.29	18	-12	30	14.6	15.2	-0.53	19.1	14.3	4.76
Kendall Gill	74	76	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.26	14	-8	22	14.0	19.3	-5.31	16.7	19.1	-2.41
Sam Cassell	71	71	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.41	0	6	-6	15.3	13.2	2.12	17.5	15.8	1.63
Kerry Kittles	59	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	2	2	14.6	15.3	-0.72	17.6	16.2	1.37
Eric Montross	45	45	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	5	-4	15.3	14.4	0.88	18.0	16.2	1.83
Joe Kleine	44	46	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	1	4	14.4	15.3	-0.88	16.2	18.0	-1.83
Jim Jackson	63	65	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	6	-6	15.7	12.9	2.73	16.8	18.0	-1.23
Tony Massenburg	37	37	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.04	-12	18	-30	15.2	14.6	0.53	14.3	19.1	-4.76

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	21	21	0.33	-0.83	1.17	0.01	11	-17	28	16.0	17.5	-1.46	16.8	14.2	2.56
Eric Leckner	4	5	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-8	10	23.2	16.8	6.41	18.8	14.6	4.18
Chris Robinson	45	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-7	8	16.6	17.6	-1.03	14.9	14.9	0.01
Roy Rogers	19	16	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	4	-14	17.2	17.1	0.05	11.2	15.7	-4.47
Lee Mayberry	25	25	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	0	-6	19.9	16.1	3.86	14.4	15.0	-0.58
Anthony Peeler	77	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-2	-2	16.9	18.4	-1.46	14.7	15.7	-0.98
Greg Anthony	72	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-8	10	16.7	18.9	-2.24	15.2	13.6	1.56
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	73	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.47	3	-9	12	16.6	19.4	-2.83	15.2	13.4	1.86
Blue Edwards	54	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.18	-11	5	-16	17.2	17.0	0.20	14.8	14.9	-0.06
Bryant Reeves	65	64	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.24	-18	12	-30	17.7	15.6	2.11	14.4	16.0	-1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.35,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.35,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.21,0.28,0.23,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.2,0.04,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 105, ORL 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.28,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.01,0	92.3%
OKC 94, MIN 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.47,0.31,0.22,0.03,0.04,0	92.0%
NYK 118, LAL 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.47,0.26,0.12,0.09,0.19,0.05,0.01,0.01,0	91.8%