NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	118		Excitement	6.9 [481]		MVP	Courtney Lee (NYK): +24.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	112		Comeback	1.4 [747]		LVP	D'Angelo Russell (LAL): -18.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.17	0.10	0.02	6	94%	0.24	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Brandon Jennings	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.15	0.02	11	68%	0.27	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Kristaps Porzingis	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.17	0.03	0.02	15	67%	0.22	1	-0.04	9	78%	-0.00
Derrick Rose	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.13	0.00	0.02	16	74%	0.18	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Justin Holiday	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	60%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Lance Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	0.01	-0.02	16	34%	-0.03	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.18	0.04	0.03	13	81%	0.23	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.01	10	61%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.01	11	60%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	12	61%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	3	57%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	13	67%	0.19	5	-0.17	10	100%	0.06
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	8	19%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.26,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	-0.02	8	19%	-0.04	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	27.0	14.8	23.2	2.3	38.7	130.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +27.7%

NYK +3.5%

NYK +0.5%

NYK +21.4%

LAL -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	LAL	NBA	NYK	LAL	NBA
this game	15.0	13.8	14.8	116.8	113.1	107.7
season	15.0	14.5		106.6	104.8
opponent	14.4	14.7		111.6	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.6	15.6	16.5	14.5	15.0
LAL	13.6	15.7	14.8	11.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	73	73	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.40	14	-8	22	14.8	15.4	-0.57	13.8	13.8	-0.05
Kristaps Porzingis	82	81	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.36	13	-7	20	14.8	15.6	-0.80	13.8	13.8	0.04
Derrick Rose	72	70	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-7	20	14.4	16.5	-2.16	14.1	13.2	0.85
Brandon Jennings	50	49	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	6	-6	14.8	15.2	-0.44	13.2	14.4	-1.16
Carmelo Anthony	82	81	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.26	-4	10	-14	15.0	15.1	-0.09	13.1	16.9	-3.83
Willy Hernangomez	40	37	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	3	0	15.6	14.5	1.11	15.2	13.0	2.16
Justin Holiday	33	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	10	-14	16.1	14.4	1.65	13.2	14.1	-0.82
Joakim Noah	41	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	8	-10	15.2	14.8	0.36	13.9	13.7	0.21
Lance Thomas	32	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	9	-12	15.2	14.9	0.39	14.8	13.4	1.47

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thomas Robinson	20	20	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.02	4	-10	14	15.3	13.4	1.93	16.1	14.7	1.40
Timofey Mozgov	45	45	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-8	10	14.1	13.6	0.51	15.5	14.6	0.88
Nick Young	44	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-6	6	13.4	14.1	-0.76	15.0	14.9	0.08
D'Angelo Russell	35	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	0	-6	14.1	13.6	0.52	15.2	14.9	0.34
Julius Randle	72	73	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-5	4	13.5	14.6	-1.08	14.6	15.9	-1.31
Lou Williams	54	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-3	0	13.6	14.0	-0.39	14.3	15.8	-1.48
Jordan Clarkson	63	67	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-7	8	13.7	14.0	-0.35	15.3	14.4	0.95
Larry Nance Jr.	40	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	6	-18	14.8	13.2	1.62	15.1	14.9	0.20
Brandon Ingram	53	55	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	2	-10	13.7	13.9	-0.24	14.8	15.2	-0.32
Luol Deng	69	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.32	-7	1	-8	13.4	14.8	-1.47	14.9	15.2	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.47,0.26,0.12,0.09,0.19,0.05,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 114, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.7%
POR 110, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0,0	92.7%
MIA 86, POR 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0	92.7%