NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	114		Excitement	6.6 [493]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +17.2%
Golden State Warriors	99		Comeback	1.1 [1021]		LVP	Jason Caffey (GSW): -10.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.07	0.00	19	76%	0.31	5	-0.13	11	91%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	5	64%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Vlade Divac	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	8	64%	0.09	2	-0.06	6	67%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	70%	0.09	4	-0.10	11	100%	0.07
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.03
Scot Pollard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jon Barry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nick Anderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	9	28%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	9	47%	-0.02	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mack	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	16	47%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Jacobson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	14	55%	0.05	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	14	40%	-0.07	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.03	24	46%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	10	42%	-0.06	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.6	29.3	14.6	25.2	1.7	33.3	130.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +25.8%

SAC +29.2%

SAC +2.0%

GSW -5.1%

GSW -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	GSW	NBA	SAC	GSW	NBA
this game	13.1	15.4	15.2	112.9	98.0	101.7
season	13.8	14.7		102.9	97.2
opponent	14.7	14.7		105.8	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	11.7	14.0	13.5	13.5	13.1
GSW	13.6	15.4	14.7	18.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	75	73	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.09	14	1	13	12.6	14.6	-2.00	14.5	17.7	-3.17
Peja Stojakovic	34	34	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	2	11	13.6	12.8	0.84	16.6	14.9	1.71
Jason Williams	76	75	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.02	13	2	11	12.3	15.4	-3.07	14.7	17.5	-2.74
Nick Anderson	62	61	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	8	-1	12.6	13.8	-1.19	14.1	17.5	-3.39
Jon Barry	39	40	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.01	8	7	1	13.8	12.6	1.19	17.5	14.1	3.39
Chris Webber	83	82	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.08	11	4	7	12.7	14.8	-2.12	15.4	15.4	0.07
Lawrence Funderburke	30	32	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	13	-11	14.7	12.4	2.34	17.0	14.7	2.30
Darrick Martin	25	26	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	13	-11	15.4	12.3	3.07	17.5	14.7	2.74
Corliss Williamson	69	69	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	12	-9	12.9	13.6	-0.69	14.8	16.9	-2.12
Scot Pollard	12	13	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	13	-11	14.5	12.9	1.60	17.0	15.2	1.81

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Jacobson	40	40	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-16	17	16.1	15.0	1.20	12.8	13.3	-0.44
Tim Young	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	11.5	15.5	-4.01	15.0	13.1	1.95
Jason Caffey	82	83	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.01	-2	-13	11	15.7	14.1	1.63	13.1	12.9	0.18
Donyell Marshall	65	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	-5	-5	16.1	14.2	1.96	13.7	12.1	1.58
Adonal Foyle	43	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-3	-9	14.5	16.1	-1.63	12.3	13.7	-1.40
Mookie Blaylock	75	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-5	-5	14.7	17.7	-3.00	12.8	14.0	-1.21
Sam Mack	58	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	-2	-11	14.7	16.5	-1.81	13.3	12.8	0.44
Antawn Jamison	80	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.09	-12	-3	-9	15.1	16.5	-1.33	12.8	14.2	-1.32
Vonteego Cummings	60	59	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.06	-16	1	-17	16.6	13.6	3.02	13.7	12.3	1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 110, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0,0	94.2%
OKC 120, GSW 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%
LAC 116, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.47,0.42,0.26,0.12,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.9%