NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	89		Excitement	10.2 [58]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +26.4%
Utah Jazz	87		Comeback	2.6 [323]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -31.4%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.04,-0.1,-0.17,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.26,-0.18,-0.18,0.26	-0.05	0.30	-0.01	26	47%	0.33	2	-0.07	7	57%	-0.10
Sam Perkins	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.07	0.00	7	83%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Snow	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Ehlo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Terry Cummings	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	8	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Nate McMillan	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07	0.04	-0.11	0.00	13	65%	-0.02	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Hersey Hawkins	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	7	59%	0.07	5	-0.23	3	100%	0.02
Shawn Kemp	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.02	-0.01	8	17%	-0.05	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.09	-0.02	28	51%	0.18	1	-0.06	7	86%	0.05
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.10	0.18	-0.01	8	30%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.08
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.10
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.01	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	7	29%	-0.10	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
John Stockton	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.11	-0.21	-0.01	9	39%	-0.15	3	-0.16	5	60%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.8	1.8	32.2	16.7	29.5	2.7	30.3	2.5	14.2	158.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +39.4%

UTA -15.7%

SEA +8.2%

SEA +0.8%

SEA +17.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	UTA	NBA	SEA	UTA	NBA
this game	16.5	16.5	15.6	91.8	90.6	104.4
season	14.9	15.6		108.9	110.8
opponent	16.0	16.2		102.2	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SEA	14.8	14.7	17.9	17.9	19.3	16.5
UTA	16.6	16.0	17.3	17.2	14.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Perkins	69	66	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.42	10	-8	18	15.7	18.4	-2.70	16.3	16.8	-0.42
Nate McMillan	37	37	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.37	8	-6	14	16.1	16.7	-0.55	15.5	17.1	-1.62
Gary Payton	91	89	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	-1	4	16.4	17.5	-1.09	16.7	13.7	2.98
Hersey Hawkins	81	81	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.48	-1	3	-4	17.3	12.2	5.13	16.5	16.3	0.25
Detlef Schrempf	76	75	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.28	1	1	0	16.6	16.0	0.61	16.9	15.1	1.77
Shawn Kemp	59	60	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	3	-4	17.1	15.6	1.52	17.4	14.9	2.59
Jim McIlvaine	18	19	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.12	-2	4	-6	17.9	16.1	1.81	16.7	16.4	0.26
Eric Snow	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	2	-2	5.0	16.6	-11.59	0.0	16.7	-16.65
Craig Ehlo	12	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.06	-3	5	-8	14.8	16.7	-1.87	14.2	16.8	-2.55
Terry Cummings	41	40	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.06	-5	7	-12	15.6	17.1	-1.54	15.8	16.9	-1.08

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Howard	19	18	0.17	-0.67	0.85	0.03	5	-7	12	16.1	16.6	-0.47	15.1	16.8	-1.67
Greg Foster	16	15	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.04	2	-4	6	18.2	16.1	2.12	14.0	16.9	-2.93
Shandon Anderson	34	33	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.06	-2	0	-2	16.2	16.6	-0.47	14.8	17.4	-2.60
Greg Ostertag	38	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-2	2	17.4	15.8	1.60	17.4	15.8	1.61
Jeff Hornacek	56	57	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.09	1	-3	4	16.7	16.1	0.65	16.9	15.8	1.15
Howard Eisley	20	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.11	-7	5	-12	16.9	16.4	0.53	13.0	17.4	-4.31
Chris Morris	33	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	1	-4	17.9	15.7	2.23	14.9	17.2	-2.34
Bryon Russell	61	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-4	6	15.7	17.8	-2.12	17.1	15.2	1.96
John Stockton	76	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.55	5	-7	12	16.4	16.9	-0.53	17.4	13.0	4.31
Karl Malone	81	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	1	-4	16.6	15.7	0.88	16.8	14.7	2.06
Antoine Carr	37	39	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.42	-8	6	-14	15.1	17.4	-2.32	16.7	16.3	0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.43,0.46,0.69,0.45,0.16,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 96, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.06,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.16,0.16,0	89.8%
POR 97, NOH 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.43,0.36,0.27,0.19,0.29,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.66,0.53,0.29,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.22,0.06,0.05,0	88.9%
HOU 91, LAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.53,0.46,0.33,0.84,0.46,0.55,0.22,0.22,0.27,0	88.8%