NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	91		Excitement	10.3 [55]		MVP	Bobby Simmons (LAC): +17.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	86		Comeback	8.3 [121]		LVP	Yao Ming (HOU): -25.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1	0.00	0.08	-0.02	13	55%	0.15	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Tyronn Lue	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	12	52%	0.09	4	-0.17	3	67%	-0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.16,-0.17,-0.23,-0.08,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25	-0.07	-0.21	-0.02	23	52%	-0.02	4	-0.24	15	93%	0.29
Yao Ming	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.15,-0.18,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.17	-0.09	-0.00	9	42%	-0.06	6	-0.20	6	67%	-0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.10	0.01	9	80%	0.20	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.10
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.08	-0.02	13	46%	-0.03	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.14	-0.00	18	49%	-0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	11	41%	-0.00	2	-0.20	5	60%	-0.03
Marko Jaric	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	10	20%	-0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	13	43%	-0.00	3	-0.21	4	50%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	28.2	15.8	30.2	2.5	39.5	0.8	14.8	158.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +4.7%

HOU +28.8%

HOU +19.3%

LAC -11.6%

HOU +8.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	17.0	15.4	15.5	91.9	88.7	104.0
season	16.0	16.0		104.2	103.0
opponent	15.5	15.8		103.8	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	15.9	17.7	16.8	19.1	14.9	17.0
LAC	12.2	16.6	15.2	17.9	16.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	33	31	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.34	7	-2	9	16.3	17.4	-1.06	13.9	16.1	-2.19
Maurice Taylor	70	68	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.28	7	-2	9	16.6	18.0	-1.35	14.2	18.3	-4.07
Jim Jackson	88	85	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	0	5	17.1	16.5	0.52	15.3	16.2	-0.94
Tracy McGrady	87	85	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.28	5	0	5	16.8	18.7	-1.98	14.6	21.1	-6.46
Scott Padgett	7	7	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	0	5	14.4	17.2	-2.78	14.0	15.5	-1.53
Bostjan Nachbar	23	24	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	5	-5	17.7	16.8	0.89	18.7	14.4	4.31
Charlie Ward	46	45	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	2	1	16.7	17.3	-0.55	13.8	16.8	-2.99
Juwan Howard	34	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	8	-11	18.0	16.5	1.55	17.8	14.1	3.70
Tyronn Lue	43	43	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	8	-11	17.8	16.4	1.42	16.8	14.3	2.50
Yao Ming	54	54	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	-0.21	-6	11	-17	17.6	16.2	1.40	16.5	14.1	2.39

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zeljko Rebraca	20	20	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.09	9	-14	23	16.9	15.0	1.92	19.0	16.5	2.56
Bobby Simmons	75	78	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-4	3	14.9	17.2	-2.28	17.2	16.3	0.92
Elton Brand	82	84	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.25	-1	-4	3	15.0	18.0	-3.05	17.0	17.2	-0.22
Mikki Moore	49	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	4	-13	15.5	15.4	0.09	16.9	17.1	-0.18
Shaun Livingston	57	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.49	3	-8	11	16.6	13.8	2.76	17.2	16.8	0.35
Corey Maggette	79	81	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	4	-13	15.3	15.9	-0.64	16.9	17.5	-0.60
Chris Wilcox	43	47	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.29	-9	4	-13	15.6	15.3	0.24	16.3	17.7	-1.36
Marko Jaric	80	82	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.34	-8	3	-11	15.2	16.4	-1.20	16.8	17.9	-1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.53,0.46,0.33,0.84,0.46,0.55,0.22,0.22,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 117, IND 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.28,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.21,0.33,0.15,0	89.4%
SEA 89, UTA 87	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.43,0.46,0.69,0.45,0.16,0.17,0	88.8%
MIN 107, LAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.42,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.33,0.74,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.32,0.08,0	88.7%