NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	100		Excitement	8.3 [193]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +39.8%
Chicago Bulls	103		Comeback	1.5 [800]		LVP	Vlade Divac (CHH): -25.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Muggsy Bogues	0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.27	0.03	0.24	0.00	9	72%	0.38	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	13	62%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Dell Curry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.00	16	62%	0.14	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	17	68%	0.12	2	-0.05	13	100%	0.16
Rafael Addison	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Zidek	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Smith	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21	-0.10	-0.10	0.01	6	17%	-0.13	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.25,-0.25	-0.06	-0.20	-0.01	11	54%	0.04	4	-0.29	2	50%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0.4	0.40	0.09	0.33	0.03	24	69%	0.59	5	-0.20	14	71%	-0.04
Ron Harper	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Robert Parish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.00	2	67%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	3	43%	-0.01	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	13	19%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	24.5	18.8	26.3	2.3	32.4	129.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +31.7%

CHH -2.8%

CHI +15.1%

CHI +12.1%

CHH -6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	CHI	NBA	CHH	CHI	NBA
this game	16.0	15.3	15.6	108.7	112.0	104.4
season	15.7	15.5		108.0	110.5
opponent	16.1	16.0		99.8	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.7	16.3	16.6	15.3	16.0
CHI	14.9	15.7	14.1	16.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	21	19	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-8	13	16.0	16.0	-0.01	16.3	15.1	1.15
Rafael Addison	3	4	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-2	1	15.3	16.0	-0.64	16.7	15.3	1.47
George Zidek	9	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-2	1	18.0	15.7	2.27	14.6	15.4	-0.88
Muggsy Bogues	54	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-2	1	15.6	16.4	-0.84	14.7	16.4	-1.66
Anthony Mason	76	75	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.35	6	-9	15	15.6	17.9	-2.32	15.8	13.2	2.59
Vlade Divac	74	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-4	5	15.9	16.2	-0.26	15.7	13.8	1.88
Dell Curry	67	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-3	3	16.1	15.6	0.49	15.1	15.9	-0.79
Malik Rose	25	26	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.07	-12	9	-21	16.6	15.7	0.88	13.2	16.2	-3.00
Glen Rice	89	88	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.43	-2	-1	-1	16.0	15.3	0.64	15.3	16.7	-1.47
Tony Smith	42	42	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	7	-17	16.2	15.8	0.43	16.1	14.7	1.46

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	80	80	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	-1	5	14.9	18.2	-3.24	16.1	15.1	1.00
Luc Longley	49	50	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	1	1	15.4	15.3	0.17	16.9	14.9	1.98
Dennis Rodman	72	72	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.34	0	3	-3	15.3	15.5	-0.19	15.6	17.3	-1.78
Ron Harper	45	45	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.02	12	-9	21	14.8	15.9	-1.07	16.2	15.7	0.56
Scottie Pippen	66	67	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.36	-2	5	-7	16.0	13.6	2.47	15.1	18.3	-3.25
Steve Kerr	54	54	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	2	-1	15.0	15.9	-0.93	16.4	15.3	1.05
Jason Caffey	20	20	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	0	3	15.5	15.3	0.19	17.3	15.6	1.78
Robert Parish	16	15	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	3	-3	15.4	15.3	0.03	14.4	16.3	-1.86
Toni Kukoc	43	43	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.23	-6	9	-15	16.0	14.8	1.27	16.0	15.9	0.17
Bill Wennington	15	14	0.04	0.47	-0.43	0.01	1	2	-1	15.3	15.4	-0.02	15.0	16.1	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.71,0.55,0.76,0.85,0.67,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 100, OKC 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.99,1	92.9%
NYK 93, CHH 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.92,1	92.3%
NJN 98, ATL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.67,0.84,1	91.8%