NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	100		Excitement	7.7 [299]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +42.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	109		Comeback	1.4 [970]		LVP	O.J. Mayo (MEM): -19.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.08	-0.03	21	56%	0.20	3	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Greivis Vasquez	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	9	43%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Rudy Gay	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	18	50%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Marc Gasol	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	55%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Sam Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	10	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Tony Allen	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	5	53%	-0.01	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.04
Darrell Arthur	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
O.J. Mayo	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.2	-0.09	-0.09	0.01	17	31%	-0.17	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.20	0.23	0.01	24	65%	0.47	2	-0.05	14	93%	0.08
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	75%	0.11	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.03	-0.04	11	62%	0.08	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.07	-0.01	4	40%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.05,0,0,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	16	52%	0.09	3	-0.08	10	100%	0.06
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Nenad Krstic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	39%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.7	30.1	15.7	36.2	2.4	37.6	150.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +43.5%

OKC +23.4%

MEM -11.7%

MEM -10.5%

OKC +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	OKC	NBA	MEM	OKC	NBA
this game	15.5	14.4	15.5	104.2	112.4	105.7
season	15.5	15.0		106.1	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		105.4	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.9	15.1	15.2	15.6	15.5
OKC	13.4	14.3	14.8	15.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Young	10	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-8	7	10.1	16.1	-5.98	19.1	13.9	5.25
Darrell Arthur	41	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-7	5	14.2	16.4	-2.12	14.4	14.4	-0.04
Rudy Gay	74	72	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-9	9	16.3	12.7	3.54	14.2	15.0	-0.87
Greivis Vasquez	45	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-10	11	15.4	15.5	-0.11	15.7	13.4	2.35
O.J. Mayo	67	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-3	-3	15.0	16.6	-1.57	14.3	14.6	-0.25
Zach Randolph	82	82	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-8	7	16.1	11.9	4.22	14.9	11.8	3.07
Tony Allen	36	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	0	-9	16.0	15.1	0.91	13.2	15.2	-1.99
Mike Conley	56	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.15	-12	3	-15	15.6	15.3	0.31	13.8	15.3	-1.52
Marc Gasol	69	71	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.19	-15	6	-21	15.4	15.5	-0.03	13.9	15.8	-1.99

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	66	63	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.19	17	-8	25	14.7	13.7	1.00	15.1	16.2	-1.10
Russell Westbrook	81	81	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	-2	13	14.1	15.7	-1.55	16.3	11.0	5.28
Kevin Durant	81	81	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	0	9	14.4	14.2	0.17	15.8	13.9	1.89
Jeff Green	76	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.23	7	2	5	14.4	14.2	0.20	16.2	12.6	3.52
Nick Collison	42	43	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	6	-3	15.2	13.8	1.45	14.9	15.9	-1.08
Thabo Sefolosha	42	39	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	9	-9	13.1	15.3	-2.20	16.6	14.7	1.95
James Harden	42	42	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	9	-9	14.5	14.3	0.15	14.5	16.2	-1.79
Eric Maynor	16	15	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	11	-13	15.7	14.1	1.55	11.0	16.3	-5.28
Nenad Krstic	39	39	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	9	-9	14.1	14.6	-0.53	14.7	16.0	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 93, CHH 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.92,1	93.2%
CHH 100, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.71,0.55,0.76,0.85,0.67,0.91,1	92.9%
LAL 94, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.86,0.98,1	92.9%