NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	98		Excitement	7.7 [243]		MVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): +26.3%
Atlanta Hawks	105		Comeback	1.5 [988]		LVP	Johan Petro (NJN): -9.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
MarShon Brooks	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.10	0.01	13	70%	0.25	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Shelden Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	7	59%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Anthony Morrow	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	9	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.02	0.02	9	83%	0.13	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.01	18	57%	0.10	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Kris Humphries	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damion James	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	44%	0.01	3	-0.11	1	0%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.31,0.26	0.26	0.13	0.14	0.00	12	76%	0.32	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.13	0.04	13	62%	0.20	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.04	0.07	0.01	9	55%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	46%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.06
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	61%	0.07	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	36%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	5	33%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	10	39%	0.01	3	-0.09	3	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.2	29.4	15.8	26.4	1.7	36.4	134.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +16.2%

ATL +15.1%

ATL +10.9%

ATL +6.5%

ATL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ATL	NBA	NJN	ATL	NBA
this game	16.8	15.6	15.6	111.4	116.7	102.8
season	16.2	15.7		101.3	102.5
opponent	15.9	15.2		99.5	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	18.9	17.3	17.3	14.0	16.8
ATL	16.3	14.0	15.4	16.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	53	53	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.33	11	-18	29	17.0	16.5	0.58	17.5	12.8	4.68
Damion James	37	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-6	5	18.1	15.9	2.25	15.1	15.9	-0.81
Sundiata Gaines	48	48	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.16	4	-11	15	18.0	15.4	2.53	16.7	14.3	2.40
Shelden Williams	18	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-2	-3	16.4	16.9	-0.53	13.4	16.1	-2.65
Johan Petro	9	12	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-2	-3	16.7	16.8	-0.16	14.1	15.8	-1.71
Shawne Williams	31	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-4	1	15.5	17.5	-1.94	14.0	16.5	-2.47
DeShawn Stevenson	17	18	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.00	-9	2	-11	18.7	16.4	2.35	17.0	15.2	1.79
Mehmet Okur	61	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-1	-5	17.2	15.9	1.32	15.9	14.8	1.15
MarShon Brooks	56	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-5	3	15.5	19.1	-3.59	14.7	17.0	-2.26
Deron Williams	62	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	3	-13	16.7	17.0	-0.22	15.7	15.2	0.53
Anthony Morrow	48	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.20	-9	2	-11	15.8	18.0	-2.19	14.8	16.7	-1.89

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	43	39	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-7	21	16.4	14.8	1.68	17.5	16.2	1.31
Vladimir Radmanovic	24	22	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.04	12	-5	17	16.2	15.3	0.87	17.5	16.6	0.98
Willie Green	25	22	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	-2	11	17.8	14.7	3.04	18.2	16.3	1.83
Tracy McGrady	42	40	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	1	5	16.2	15.0	1.17	17.3	16.4	0.90
Jannero Pargo	29	26	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	-1	9	15.1	15.8	-0.63	17.8	16.4	1.42
Jeff Teague	61	62	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	8	-9	15.8	15.1	0.63	16.4	17.8	-1.42
Marvin Williams	48	48	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.19	1	6	-5	15.0	16.2	-1.17	16.4	17.3	-0.90
Joe Johnson	65	66	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	9	-11	14.7	17.8	-3.04	16.3	18.2	-1.83
Josh Smith	66	66	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.24	-4	11	-15	14.9	17.4	-2.47	16.2	18.5	-2.26
Al Horford	47	49	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.19	-8	15	-23	15.4	15.8	-0.43	16.7	17.0	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.67,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 91, NOH 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.72,1	92.8%
MIN 102, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.94,0.96,1	92.8%
SAC 81, LAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.91,1	92.6%